Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arbe Robotics Ltd. ILS 0.79, price ILS 2.02, upside -60.9%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range 1.79 ILS – 15.15 ILS · fair‑value band 0.5185 ILS – 0.9860 ILS · the 2.02 ILS price screens above the 0.7905 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Arbe Robotics Ltd., a semiconductor company, provides 4D imaging radar solutions to suppliers of parts or systems, autonomous ground vehicles, and commercial and industrial vehicles in Sweden, the United States, China, Hong Kong, and Germany.
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Arbe Robotics Ltd., a semiconductor company, provides 4D imaging radar solutions to suppliers of parts or systems, autonomous ground vehicles, and commercial and industrial vehicles in Sweden, the United States, China, Hong Kong, and Germany. It offers a radar chipset, including transmitter (Tx), receiver (Rx), and processor chips; and the Phoenix perception radar for free space mapping, object tracking, and simultaneous localization and mapping. The company also develops radar chipsets for integration into advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles (AV) sensor suites, as well as an array of safety applications with sensing and paradigm-changing perception. Further, it develops multi-channel radio frequency integrated circuit. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) currently trades at 2.02 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7905 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 155.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.5185 ILS (bear) to 0.9860 ILS (bull), the price of 2.02 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Arbe Robotics Ltd. reported revenue of $1.0M in FY2025 versus $2.2M in FY2021, a compound −17.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$45.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 259M ILS (≈ $84.9M) · EPS (TTM) −1.10 ILS · Return on equity −73.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −69.8% · Operating margin −2,461% · Revenue (TTM) $1.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) +10.5% · Free cash flow −$38.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −61%, ARBE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.5185 ILSFair Value 0.7905 ILSBull 0.9860 ILS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.3/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4,505.4% (2020) → −4,671.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks
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Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7905 ILS versus a price of 2.02 ILS, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARBE?
Our model-based fair value for Arbe Robotics Ltd. is 0.7905 ILS (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.02 ILS.
What is the quality score of ARBE?
Arbe Robotics Ltd. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.7905 ILS (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5185 ILS, optimistic scenario 0.9860 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.7905 ILS, about −61% upside versus a price of 2.02 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.5185 ILS, optimistic scenario 0.9860 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Arbe Robotics Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arbe Robotics Ltd. it is 0.7905 ILS per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 2.02 ILS. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARBE trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.02 ILS, fair value 0.7905 ILS, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARBE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.02 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.7905 ILS). For Arbe Robotics Ltd. the two are 1.23 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arbe Robotics Ltd. worth?
The market values Arbe Robotics Ltd. at about 259M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 2.02 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 0.7905 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARBE?
Our models span a range for Arbe Robotics Ltd.: cautious scenario 0.5185 ILS, base 0.7905 ILS, optimistic 0.9860 ILS per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 2.02 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arbe Robotics Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −73.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARBE from its 52-week high?
Arbe Robotics Ltd. trades at 2.02 ILS, about 77% below its 52-week high of 8.98 ILS and 13% above the low of 1.79 ILS (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.7905 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arbe Robotics Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 2.02 ILS, calculated fair value 0.7905 ILS (−61%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARBE calculated?
We run Arbe Robotics Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.7905 ILS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Arbe Robotics Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 2.02 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 0.7905 ILS, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arbe Robotics Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.9860 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.5185 ILS to 0.9860 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arbe Robotics Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The market capitalisation of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is 259M ILS (≈ $84.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Earnings per share at Arbe Robotics Ltd. are −1.10 ILS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −73.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −69.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The operating margin of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −2,461% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Revenue at Arbe Robotics Ltd. is growing +10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −56.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) generate?
The free cash flow of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −$38.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) carry?
The net debt of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is $23.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026