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Arbe Robotics Ltd (ARBE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · Il · Market cap 267M ILS

AR Arbe Robotics Ltd ARBE · TA
Price2.19 ILS
Fair Value0.2635 ILS
Upside-88.0%
Quality29/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.1700 ILS – 0.3315 ILS Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3315 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.1700 ILS to 0.3315 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

15.03 ILS 1.78 ILS Fair Value 0.2635 ILS May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range 1.78 ILS – 15.03 ILS · fair‑value band 0.1700 ILS – 0.3315 ILS · the 2.19 ILS price screens above the 0.2635 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Arbe Robotics Ltd (ARBE) currently trades at 2.19 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2635 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.4M ILS. It earns a return on equity of -73.6%. Net debt stands at 23.6M ILS. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.1700 ILS (bear case) to 0.3315 ILS (bull case); at 2.19 ILS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -88%, ARBE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 0.1700 ILS 0.2200 ILS 0.3300 ILS 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1700 ILS 0.2200 ILS 0.3300 ILS 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4M ILS
Revenue growth (YoY) +1,053%
Return on equity -73.6%
Free cash flow −38.4M ILS FY2025
Operating margin -2,461%
EPS (TTM) -1.10 ILS
More key figures
Net debt 23.6M ILS FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Arbe Robotics Ltd., a semiconductor company, provides 4D imaging radar solutions to suppliers of parts or systems, autonomous ground vehicles, and commercial and industrial vehicles in Sweden, the United States, China, Hong Kong, and Germany.

Full company description

Arbe Robotics Ltd., a semiconductor company, provides 4D imaging radar solutions to suppliers of parts or systems, autonomous ground vehicles, and commercial and industrial vehicles in Sweden, the United States, China, Hong Kong, and Germany. It offers a radar chipset, including transmitter (Tx), receiver (Rx), and processor chips; and the Phoenix perception radar for free space mapping, object tracking, and simultaneous localization and mapping. The company also develops radar chipsets for integration into advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles (AV) sensor suites, as well as an array of safety applications with sensing and paradigm-changing perception. Further, it develops multi-channel radio frequency integrated circuit. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Arbe Robotics Ltd reported revenue of 1.0M ILS in FY2025 versus 2.2M ILS in FY2021, a compound −17.8%/yr. Reported net income was −45.2M ILS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 3/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0M ILS
Latest YoY
+33.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−56.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Revenue −17.8%/yr
FY21 2.2M ILS
FY22 12.4M ILS
FY23 5.3M ILS
FY24 768K ILS
FY25 1.0M ILS
Net income
FY21 −58.1M ILS
FY22 −40.5M ILS
FY23 −43.5M ILS
FY24 −49.3M ILS
FY25 −45.2M ILS

ARBE screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arbe Robotics Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBE

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -34% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 1053% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.14× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 60.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 34
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

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Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $315.90 $84.16 -73%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $241.76 $146.67 -39%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $635.52 $367.58 -42%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,905 TWD 286.15 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 80.10 kr 52.93 -34%
MKS Inc MKSI $324.69 $77.46 -76%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥52.91 ¥34.47 -35%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.78 $33.84 -45%
Trimble Inc TRMB $52.72 $24.47 -54%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $64.07 $13.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Arbe Robotics Ltd (ARBE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2635 ILS versus a price of 2.19 ILS, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARBE?
Our model-based fair value for Arbe Robotics Ltd is 0.2635 ILS (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.19 ILS.
What is the quality score of ARBE?
Arbe Robotics Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Arbe Robotics Ltd (ARBE)?
Arbe Robotics Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARBE?
The net profit margin of Arbe Robotics Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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