CKX Lands Inc (CKX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CKX Lands Inc stock $10.69, price $10.37, upside +3.1%, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.10 – $14.44 · fair‑value band $10.42 – $10.97 · the $10.37 price screens below the $10.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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CKX Lands, Inc. engages in the ownership and management of land in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Timber, and Surface.
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It leases its property to oil and gas operators; raises and harvests timber; and surface uses, such as agriculture, rights-of-way, and hunting activities. The company was formerly known as Calcasieu Real Estate & Oil Co. Inc. and changed its name to CKX Lands, Inc. in May 2005.
CKX Lands, Inc. was incorporated in 1930 and is based in Lake Charles, Louisiana.
Stock analysis
CKX Lands Inc (CKX) currently trades at $10.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.69, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $16.35 per share, and 11 of the 21 models we run sit above the $10.37 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.39, and 10 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.42 (bear) to $10.97 (bull), the price of $10.37 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
CKX Lands Inc reported revenue of $839K in FY2025 versus $745K in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $3.0M in FY2025, compounding +38.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $21.3M Micro · P/E ratio 7.3 · P/S ratio 26.2 · EPS (TTM) $1.42 · Return on equity 14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 13.7% · Revenue (TTM) $693K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 3%, CKX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$10.42Fair Value $10.69Bull$10.97
Price $10.37 · Upside +3.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.22 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+44.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 53.1% / 20.0%
Profit margin 1995 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.77% → 10%
2025 sits 1,426% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+3.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.4% · Above median
Return on assets13.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)23.8% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.69 versus a price of $10.37, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CKX?
Our model-based fair value for CKX Lands Inc is $10.69 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.37.
What is the quality score of CKX?
CKX Lands Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.69 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.42, optimistic scenario $10.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CKX Lands Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.69, about +3% upside versus a price of $10.37 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $10.42, optimistic scenario $10.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
CKX Lands Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $693K (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CKX Lands Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -9.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CKX use?
Our models discount CKX Lands Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CKX Lands Inc that is -9.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CKX Lands Inc (CKX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CKX Lands Inc grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -9.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CKX Lands Inc (CKX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CKX Lands Inc (-9.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.16 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow CKX Lands Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CKX Lands Inc it is $10.69 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $10.37. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is CKX Lands Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, CKX trades below its calculated fair value: price $10.37, fair value $10.69, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CKX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.69). For CKX Lands Inc the two are $0.3200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CKX Lands Inc worth?
The market values CKX Lands Inc at about $21.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $10.37; our models calculate a fair value of $10.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CKX?
Our models span a range for CKX Lands Inc: cautious scenario $10.42, base $10.69, optimistic $10.97 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $10.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CKX?
CKX Lands Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.3 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.69 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 54.4. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 1.0, P/S 30.7.
What is the PEG ratio of CKX?
The PEG ratio of CKX Lands Inc is 1.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
Balance-sheet figures for CKX Lands Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 14.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CKX from its 52-week high?
CKX Lands Inc trades at $10.37, about 16% below its 52-week high of $12.33 and 14% above the low of $9.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CKX Lands Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CKX Lands Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $10.37, calculated fair value $10.69 (+3%), Quality Score 69/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CKX calculated?
We run CKX Lands Inc through 21 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $10.69 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. CKX Lands Inc currently trades 3% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $10.37. Our model-based fair value is $10.69, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CKX Lands Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($10.42 to $10.97), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of CKX Lands Inc (CKX) come from?
Earnings per share at CKX Lands Inc grew +6.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin −19.7 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +34.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CKX Lands Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
The market capitalisation of CKX Lands Inc is $21.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CKX Lands Inc is 26.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
Earnings per share at CKX Lands Inc are $1.42 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CKX Lands Inc is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CKX Lands Inc is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
The operating margin of CKX Lands Inc is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
Revenue at CKX Lands Inc is growing +23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CKX Lands Inc (CKX)?
Earnings per share at CKX Lands Inc are growing −24.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does CKX Lands Inc (CKX) hold?
CKX Lands Inc holds more cash than debt, $18.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 3, 2026