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Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Duketon Mining Ltd stock A$0.07, price A$0.10, that is 30.0% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000DKM1

DM Duketon Mining Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Duketon Mining Ltd

DKM · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 40/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −12.8 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.0700 · Overvalued
Loss-making · -119.4% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.5550 A$0.0800 Fair Value A$0.0700 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0800 – A$0.5550 · fair‑value band A$0.0500 – A$0.0900 · the A$0.1000 price screens above the A$0.0700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Duketon Mining Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral resources in Australia. The company explores for gold, lithium, iron, uranium, nickel, copper, platinum, and palladium deposits, as well as rare earth elements and base metals.

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Duketon Mining Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) currently trades at A$0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0700, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0500 (bear) to A$0.0900 (bull), the price of A$0.1000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.

Duketon Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$469K in FY2025 versus A$86.2K in FY2021, a compound +52.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$12.3M (≈ $8.5M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −32.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.9% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) −A$2.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) −94.5% · EPS growth (YoY) −92.0% · Free cash flow −A$1.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −30%, DKM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0500 Fair Value A$0.0700 Bull A$0.0900
Price A$0.1000 · Downside -30.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 69
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 46
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 18
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,225.1% (2020) → −425.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DKM screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Above median
Fair Value upside −30.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −35.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −119.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −94.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.94× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs DKM
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs DKM
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs DKM
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs DKM
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs DKM
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs DKM
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs DKM
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs DKM
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs DKM
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs DKM

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Duketon Mining Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duketon Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DKM

Frequently asked questions

Is Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0700 versus a price of A$0.1000, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DKM?
Our model-based fair value for Duketon Mining Ltd is A$0.0700 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1000.
What is the quality score of DKM?
Duketon Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0700 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0500, optimistic scenario A$0.0900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duketon Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0700, about 30% lower versus a price of A$0.1000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0500, optimistic scenario A$0.0900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duketon Mining Ltd it is A$0.0700 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.1000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Duketon Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, DKM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1000, fair value A$0.0700, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DKM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0700). For Duketon Mining Ltd the two are A$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duketon Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Duketon Mining Ltd at about A$12.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DKM?
Our models span a range for Duketon Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0500, base A$0.0700, optimistic A$0.0900 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.1000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duketon Mining Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −32.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DKM from its 52-week high?
Duketon Mining Ltd trades at A$0.1000, about 47% below its 52-week high of A$0.1900 and 25% above the low of A$0.0800 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duketon Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duketon Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.1000, calculated fair value A$0.0700 (−30%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DKM calculated?
We run Duketon Mining Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0700 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Duketon Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.1000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0700, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Duketon Mining Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Duketon Mining Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The market capitalisation of Duketon Mining Ltd is A$12.3M (≈ $8.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Earnings per share at Duketon Mining Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duketon Mining Ltd is −32.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duketon Mining Ltd is −27.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much revenue does Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) generate?
Duketon Mining Ltd generates revenue of −A$2.2M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Revenue at Duketon Mining Ltd is growing −94.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Earnings per share at Duketon Mining Ltd are growing −92.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) generate?
The free cash flow of Duketon Mining Ltd is −A$1.8M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) hold?
Duketon Mining Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$7.5M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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