Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Duketon Mining Ltd A$0.09, price A$0.11, upside -14.3%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0800 – A$0.5550 · fair‑value band A$0.0600 – A$0.1100 · the A$0.1050 price screens above the A$0.0900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Duketon Mining Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral resources in Australia. The company explores for gold, lithium, iron, uranium, nickel, copper, platinum, and palladium deposits, as well as rare earth elements and base metals. Duketon Mining Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) currently trades at A$0.1050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0600 (bear) to A$0.1100 (bull), the price of A$0.1050 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Duketon Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$469K in FY2025 versus A$86.2K in FY2021, a compound +52.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$560K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$15.0M (≈ $10.5M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −119% · Return on equity −10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.3% · Revenue (TTM) −A$2.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) −94.5% · EPS growth (YoY) −92.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −14%, DKM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0600Fair Value A$0.0900Bull A$0.1100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+102.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,225.1% (2020) → −425.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−14% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−119% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−95% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0900 versus a price of A$0.1050, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DKM?
Our model-based fair value for Duketon Mining Ltd is A$0.0900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1050.
What is the quality score of DKM?
Duketon Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0600, optimistic scenario A$0.1100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duketon Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0900, about −14% upside versus a price of A$0.1050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0600, optimistic scenario A$0.1100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duketon Mining Ltd it is A$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1050. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Duketon Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DKM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1050, fair value A$0.0900, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DKM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0900). For Duketon Mining Ltd the two are A$0.0150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duketon Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Duketon Mining Ltd at about A$15.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DKM?
Our models span a range for Duketon Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0600, base A$0.0900, optimistic A$0.1100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duketon Mining Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DKM from its 52-week high?
Duketon Mining Ltd trades at A$0.1050, about 52% below its 52-week high of A$0.2200 and 11% above the low of A$0.0950 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duketon Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duketon Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1050, calculated fair value A$0.0900 (−14%), Quality Score 56/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DKM calculated?
We run Duketon Mining Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Duketon Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1050. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0900, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Duketon Mining Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0600 to A$0.1100) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Duketon Mining Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The market capitalisation of Duketon Mining Ltd is A$15.0M (≈ $10.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Earnings per share at Duketon Mining Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The net margin of Duketon Mining Ltd is −119% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duketon Mining Ltd is −10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duketon Mining Ltd is −20.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much revenue does Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) generate?
Duketon Mining Ltd generates revenue of −A$2.2M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Revenue at Duketon Mining Ltd is growing −94.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +160%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM)?
Earnings per share at Duketon Mining Ltd are growing −92.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) generate?
The free cash flow of Duketon Mining Ltd is −A$1.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Duketon Mining Ltd (DKM) hold?
Duketon Mining Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$9.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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