Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dorchester Minerals LP stock $29.99, price $27.53, upside +8.9%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.98 – $30.69 · fair‑value band $20.99 – $38.97 · the $27.53 price screens below the $29.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United States.
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Its royalty properties include producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in 594 counties and parishes in 28 states; and net profits interests, which represent net profits overriding royalty interests in various properties owned by the operating partnership.
The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Stock analysis
Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) currently trades at $27.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.99, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $47.44 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the $27.53 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $7.64, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $20.99 (bear) to $38.97 (bull), the price of $27.53 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Dorchester Minerals LP reported revenue of $153M in FY2025 versus $93.4M in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was $57.4M in FY2025, compounding −4.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B Small · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 7.13 · EPS (TTM) $1.75 · Dividend yield 11.6% · Net margin 45.3% · Return on equity 28.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 45.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 77 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 9%, DMLP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$20.99Fair Value $29.99Bull$38.97
Price $27.53 · Upside +8.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $254,195, most recently on Aug 19, 2026. Buying cluster
BuyLeslie A MoriyamaChief Financial Officer2× since Nov 25, 2025: 8,238 shares, avg. $25.79$212,457Aug 19, 2026
BuyDORCHESTER MINERALS OPERATING LPEntity Under Common Control5× since Dec 17, 2025: 70,000 shares, avg. $24.33$1.7MJun 1, 202610b5-1 plan
BuyBradley J EhrmanChief Executive Officer2× since Nov 25, 2025: 7,487 shares, avg. $24.32$182,099May 12, 2026
BuyFrank Damon BoxDirector5,000 shares at $21.97$109,850Dec 3, 2025
BuyRobert C VaughnDirector2× since Nov 25, 2025: 4,810 shares, avg. $21.41$102,965Nov 28, 2025
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.9% vs 5.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.47% → 38%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.9% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (54 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+8.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)28.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets18.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)45.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)55.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)73.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)11.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.7× · Pricier than median
P/B4.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)7.13× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)10.0× · Cheaper than median
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Is Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.99 versus a price of $27.53, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DMLP?
Our model-based fair value for Dorchester Minerals LP is $29.99 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $27.53.
What is the quality score of DMLP?
Dorchester Minerals LP has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $29.99 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $20.99, optimistic scenario $38.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dorchester Minerals LP stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $29.99, about +9% upside versus a price of $27.53 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $20.99, optimistic scenario $38.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Dorchester Minerals LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $186M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Dorchester Minerals LP pay a dividend?
Dorchester Minerals LP currently shows a dividend yield of 11.60% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Dorchester Minerals LP pays a dividend of $3.19 per share a year, a dividend yield of 11.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 2, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1989. The payout ratio is 183% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.84 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What growth is priced into Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dorchester Minerals LP would have to grow free cash flow by -2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DMLP use?
Our models discount Dorchester Minerals LP at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dorchester Minerals LP that is -2.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dorchester Minerals LP grew +26.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -2.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dorchester Minerals LP (-2.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.97 %: that much free cash flow Dorchester Minerals LP produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dorchester Minerals LP it is $29.99 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $27.53. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Dorchester Minerals LP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, DMLP trades below its calculated fair value: price $27.53, fair value $29.99, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DMLP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($27.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($29.99). For Dorchester Minerals LP the two are $2.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dorchester Minerals LP worth?
The market values Dorchester Minerals LP at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $27.53; our models calculate a fair value of $29.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DMLP?
Our models span a range for Dorchester Minerals LP: cautious scenario $20.99, base $29.99, optimistic $38.97 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $27.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DMLP?
Dorchester Minerals LP trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.7 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $29.99 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.5. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 4.3, P/S 7.1, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
What is the PEG ratio of DMLP?
The PEG ratio of Dorchester Minerals LP is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dorchester Minerals LP (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 28.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DMLP from its 52-week high?
Dorchester Minerals LP trades at $27.53, about 10% below its 52-week high of $30.69 and 42% above the low of $19.34 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $29.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dorchester Minerals LP?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dorchester Minerals LP stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $27.53, calculated fair value $29.99 (+9%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DMLP calculated?
We run Dorchester Minerals LP through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $29.99 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Dorchester Minerals LP currently trades 8% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $27.53. Our model-based fair value is $29.99, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dorchester Minerals LP right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($20.99 to $38.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) come from?
Earnings per share at Dorchester Minerals LP grew +8.2 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin +1.4 %, tax rate −3.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dorchester Minerals LP
How large is the market capitalisation of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The market capitalisation of Dorchester Minerals LP is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dorchester Minerals LP is 7.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Earnings per share at Dorchester Minerals LP are $1.75 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The dividend yield of Dorchester Minerals LP is 11.6% (payout 183%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The net margin of Dorchester Minerals LP is 45.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dorchester Minerals LP is 28.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dorchester Minerals LP is 45.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
The operating margin of Dorchester Minerals LP is 55.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Revenue at Dorchester Minerals LP is growing +73.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP)?
Earnings per share at Dorchester Minerals LP are growing +146% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Dorchester Minerals LP (DMLP) hold?
Dorchester Minerals LP holds more cash than debt, $41.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026