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Denison Mines Corp (DNN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Denison Mines Corp stock $0.98, price $2.22, that is 55.9% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy US · Home Canada · ISIN CA2483561072

DM Denison Mines Corp logo Thin data Nov 11, 2026

Denison Mines Corp

DNN · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 56% below what the stock costs today.

Upbeat coverage
Profit last quarter +183% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +22.2 %/yr in CAD)
Fair value $0.9800 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 27/100
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4.37 $0.9400 Fair Value $0.9800 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9400 – $4.37 · fair‑value band $0.7400 – $1.23 · the $2.22 price screens above the $0.9800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Denison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of uranium bearing properties in Canada. It holds 95% interest in its flagship project Wheeler River uranium project located in the Athabasca Basin region in northern Saskatchewan.

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The company was formerly known as International Uranium Corporation and changed its name to Denison Mines Corp. in December 2006. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Denison Mines Corp (DNN) currently trades at $2.22, while our estimate is $0.9800, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $0.7400 (bear) to $1.23 (bull), the price of $2.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Denison Mines Corp reported revenue of C$4.9M in FY2025 versus C$20.0M in FY2021, a compound −29.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$217M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.0B Mid · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Return on equity −15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2,429% · Revenue (TTM) C$4.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) +0.1% · EPS growth (YoY) +183%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −56%, DNN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $0.7400 Fair Value $0.9800 Bull $1.23
Price $2.22 · Downside -55.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 39
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 1
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 13
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 60
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−98.6% (2020) → −1,748.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DNN screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Compare Denison Mines Corp with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 34 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Below median
Fair Value upside −55.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −19.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.66× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.83× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)1 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)17 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
IsoEnergy Ltd ISOU $8.16 $7.18 −12% vs DNN
Ur-Energy Inc URG $0.6775 $0.5315 −22% vs DNN
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $2.96 $2.24 −24% vs DNN
Energy Fuels Inc UUUU $6.74 $4.84 −28% vs DNN
Uranium Energy Corp UEC $7.17 $4.27 −40% vs DNN
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.65 A$0.9600 −42% vs DNN
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $109.87 $55.95 −49% vs DNN
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.28 HK$1.08 −53% vs DNN
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$0.8800 A$0.1900 −78% vs DNN
Cameco Corporation CCJ $72.87 $10.06 −86% vs DNN

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Denison Mines Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Denison Mines Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNN

Frequently asked questions

Is Denison Mines Corp (DNN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $0.9800 versus a price of $2.22, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DNN?
Our estimate for Denison Mines Corp is $0.9800 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.22.
What is the quality score of DNN?
Denison Mines Corp has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $0.9800 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Cautious scenario $0.7400, optimistic scenario $1.23. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Denison Mines Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $0.9800, about 56% lower versus a price of $2.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.7400, optimistic scenario $1.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Denison Mines Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$4.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Denison Mines Corp it is $0.9800 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of $2.22.
Is Denison Mines Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, DNN trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.22, fair value $0.9800, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DNN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9800). For Denison Mines Corp the two are $1.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Denison Mines Corp worth?
The market values Denison Mines Corp at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is $2.22; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DNN?
Our models span a range for Denison Mines Corp: cautious scenario $0.7400, base $0.9800, optimistic $1.23 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price $2.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of DNN?
The PEG ratio of Denison Mines Corp is 106.92 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 11, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Denison Mines Corp (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −15.2%, debt of 1.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DNN from its 52-week high?
Denison Mines Corp trades at $2.22, about 49% below its 52-week high of $4.37 and 8% above the low of $2.06 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Denison Mines Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, Uranium Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, Energy Fuels Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Denison Mines Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price $2.22, calculated fair value $0.9800 (−56%), Quality Score 27/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Denison Mines Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $2.22. Our estimate is $0.9800, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Denison Mines Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Denison Mines Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
The market capitalisation of Denison Mines Corp is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Earnings per share at Denison Mines Corp are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Denison Mines Corp is −15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Denison Mines Corp is −7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
The operating margin of Denison Mines Corp is −2,429% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Revenue at Denison Mines Corp is growing +0.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Denison Mines Corp (DNN)?
Earnings per share at Denison Mines Corp are growing +183% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Denison Mines Corp (DNN) generate?
The free cash flow of Denison Mines Corp is −C$119M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Denison Mines Corp (DNN) carry?
The net debt of Denison Mines Corp is C$148M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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