Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Engie Energia Chile SA stock CLP 3,214, price CLP 2,000, upside +60.7%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 313.61 CLP – 2,015 CLP · fair‑value band 2,250 CLP – 4,178 CLP · the 2,000 CLP price screens below the 3,214 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Engie Energia Chile S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, and supply of electricity primarily in Chile and Argentina. The company transports natural gas and offers energy solutions to mining and industrial customers.
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It also operates solar, wind, thermal, and hydroelectric power plants with an installed capacity of 2,869 MW. The company was formerly known as E-CL S.A. and changed its name to Engie Energia Chile S.A. in June 2016. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Las Condes, Chile.
Engie Energia Chile S.A. operates as a subsidiary of ENGIE Austral S.A.
Stock analysis
Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL) currently trades at 2,000 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,214 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3,680 CLP per share, and 11 of the 16 models we run sit above the 2,000 CLP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 854.18 CLP, and 5 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 2,250 CLP (bear) to 4,178 CLP (bull), the price of 2,000 CLP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Engie Energia Chile SA reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $223M in FY2025, compounding +47.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1T CLP (≈ $2.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 7.9 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) 253.99 CLP · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 10.7% · Return on equity 15.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 61%, ECL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2,250 CLPFair Value 3,214 CLPBull4,178 CLP
Price 2,000 CLP · Upside +60.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (166.73 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 23%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside+60.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)14.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)27.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Engie Energia Chile SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECL.SN
Frequently asked questions
Is Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,214 CLP versus a price of 2,000 CLP, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ECL?
Our model-based fair value for Engie Energia Chile SA is 3,214 CLP (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,000 CLP.
What is the quality score of ECL?
Engie Energia Chile SA has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,214 CLP (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,250 CLP, optimistic scenario 4,178 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Engie Energia Chile SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,214 CLP, about +61% upside versus a price of 2,000 CLP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2,250 CLP, optimistic scenario 4,178 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Engie Energia Chile SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Engie Energia Chile SA pay a dividend?
Engie Energia Chile SA currently shows a dividend yield of 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Engie Energia Chile SA pays a dividend of 62.62 CLP per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.1%. The last ex-dividend date was May 22, 2026. The payout ratio is 29.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Engie Energia Chile SA it is 3,214 CLP per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of 2,000 CLP. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Engie Energia Chile SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, ECL trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,000 CLP, fair value 3,214 CLP, a gap of about +61% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ECL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,000 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,214 CLP). For Engie Energia Chile SA the two are 1,214 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Engie Energia Chile SA worth?
The market values Engie Energia Chile SA at about 2.1T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is 2,000 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 3,214 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ECL?
Our models span a range for Engie Energia Chile SA: cautious scenario 2,250 CLP, base 3,214 CLP, optimistic 4,178 CLP per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price 2,000 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ECL?
Engie Energia Chile SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.9 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3,214 CLP is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 13.4. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Engie Energia Chile SA (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 15.5%, debt of 1.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ECL from its 52-week high?
Engie Energia Chile SA trades at 2,000 CLP, about 1% below its 52-week high of 2,015 CLP and 59% above the low of 1,256 CLP (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,214 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Engie Energia Chile SA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Engie Energia Chile SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price 2,000 CLP, calculated fair value 3,214 CLP (+61%), Quality Score 46/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ECL calculated?
We run Engie Energia Chile SA through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3,214 CLP builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Engie Energia Chile SA currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was 2,000 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 3,214 CLP, about +61% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Engie Energia Chile SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (46/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2,250 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (2,250 CLP to 4,178 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Engie Energia Chile SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The market capitalisation of Engie Energia Chile SA is 2.1T CLP (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Engie Energia Chile SA is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Earnings per share at Engie Energia Chile SA are 253.99 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The dividend yield of Engie Energia Chile SA is 3.1% (payout 24.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The net margin of Engie Energia Chile SA is 10.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Engie Energia Chile SA is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Engie Energia Chile SA is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
The operating margin of Engie Energia Chile SA is 27.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Revenue at Engie Energia Chile SA is growing −0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL)?
Earnings per share at Engie Energia Chile SA are growing +221% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL) generate?
The free cash flow of Engie Energia Chile SA is −$363M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Engie Energia Chile SA (ECL) carry?
The net debt of Engie Energia Chile SA is $2.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 12, 2026