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Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company stock €6.34, price €13.94, that is 54.5% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities GR · ISIN GRS359353000

AW Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company

EYDAP · AT
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 55% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +17% vs. a year ago.
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.0 %/yr in EUR)
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
Changed on Oct 23: €3.43 → €6.34
Fair value €6.34 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 32/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€13.96 €5.24 Fair Value €6.34 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.24 – €13.96 · fair‑value band €5.38 – €7.30 · the €13.94 price screens above the €6.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the water supply and refinement, and sewerage and wastewater management activities in Greece.

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The company is involved in the design, construction, installation, operation, maintenance, development, and modernization / renovation of facilities and networks of water supply and sewerage.

It operates a water distribution network of 14,000 kilometers; manages four water treatment plants with a total daily capacity of 1.8 million cubic water meters; a sewerage network of 8,500 kilometers; and three wastewater treatment centers in Psyttalia, Metamorphosis, and Thriasio.

The company also engages in irrigation and rainwater collection activities. In addition, it produces electric energy through hydro, solar, biogas, natural gas, and thermal energy sources. Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company S.A. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.

Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Hellenic Corporation of Assets & Participations S.A.

Stock analysis

Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) currently trades at €13.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.34, 55% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €5.38 (bear) to €7.30 (bull), the price of €13.94 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company reported revenue of €365M in FY2025 versus €361M in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€21.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €1.5B Small · P/S ratio 3.77 · EPS (TTM) €0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −55%, EYDAP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €5.38 Fair Value €6.34 Bull €7.30
Price €13.94 · Downside -54.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0087 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA €5.38 €6.34 €7.30 64
NCAV (Graham) €3.45 €4.62 €6.90 51
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €5.38 €6.34 €7.30 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.45 €4.62 €6.90 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 80
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 65
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 79
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 86
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 100
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.9% (2020) → −0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EYDAP screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 65 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −54.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 10.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 17.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 3.76× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)87 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)1 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EYDAP

Frequently asked questions

Is Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.34 versus a price of €13.94, about 55% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EYDAP?
Our model-based fair value for Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is €6.34 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €13.94.
What is the quality score of EYDAP?
Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.34 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.38, optimistic scenario €7.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.34, about 55% lower versus a price of €13.94 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.38, optimistic scenario €7.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €395M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company pay a dividend?
Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company currently shows a dividend yield of 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company has a dividend yield of 0.5%.
What is the intrinsic value of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company it is €6.34 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €13.94. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, EYDAP trades above its calculated fair value: price €13.94, fair value €6.34, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EYDAP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€13.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.34). For Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company the two are €7.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company worth?
The market values Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company at about €1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €13.94; our models calculate a fair value of €6.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EYDAP?
Our models span a range for Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company: cautious scenario €5.38, base €6.34, optimistic €7.30 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €13.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 0.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EYDAP from its 52-week high?
Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company trades at €13.94, at its 52-week high of €13.96 and 104% above the low of €6.84 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €13.94, calculated fair value €6.34 (−55%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EYDAP calculated?
We run Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €6.34 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was €13.94. Our model-based fair value is €6.34, about 55% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) come from?
Earnings per share at Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company grew −8.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.2 %, EBIT margin −10.5 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The market capitalisation of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is €1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is 3.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Earnings per share at Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company are €0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The dividend yield of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The net margin of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
The operating margin of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Revenue at Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is growing +17.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP)?
Earnings per share at Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company are growing −76.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) generate?
The free cash flow of Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company is −€56.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) hold?
Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company holds more cash than debt, €265M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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