Forterra PLC (FORT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Forterra PLC stock £2.68, price £1.68, upside +59.6%, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.24 – £3.15 · fair‑value band £1.74 – £3.61 · the £1.68 price screens below the £2.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Forterra plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides building products made from clay and concrete for the construction sector in the United Kingdom. It operates through Bricks and Blocks; and Bespoke Products segments.
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The company offers fletton, extruded wirecut, soft mud, semi-dry pressed, and special shaped bricks; aircrete and aggregate blocks; façade systems, such as lightweight and brick slip cladding systems, prefabricated walling systems, and retained brick slip systems; precast concrete products, such as Jetfloor insulated ground floors, hollowcore and solid floors, beam and block floors, stairs and landings, and diesel transfer slabs; box culverts, bridge decks and retaining walls for infrastructure, crosswall frames, stadia components, and columns and beams for structural projects; chimney pots, clay ridge tiles, finials, gas flue terminals, and flue systems; and permeable block pavings.
It sells its products under the London Brick, Butterley, Ecostock, Cradley, Omnia, Conbloc, Thermalite, Bison Precast, and Red Bank brands. The company was formerly known as Starzone plc and changed its name to Forterra plc in March 2016.
Forterra plc was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Northampton, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Forterra PLC (FORT) currently trades at £1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.68, implying the stock looks roughly 37% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £2.76 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the £1.68 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.5400, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £1.74 (bear) to £3.61 (bull), the price of £1.68 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Forterra PLC reported revenue of £386M in FY2025 versus £370M in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was £17.0M in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap £353M Small · P/E ratio 18.6 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) £0.0900 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 60%, FORT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£1.74Fair Value £2.68Bull£3.61
Price £1.68 · Upside +59.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0257 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF£1.99£2.90£4.0681
Growth DCF£2.03£2.83£3.8279
Owner Earnings£1.35£1.99£2.8376
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF£1.99£2.90£4.0681
Owner Earnings£1.35£1.99£2.8376
5Y Revenue Exit£1.70£2.66£3.8372
5Y EBITDA Exit£1.84£2.91£4.1275
5Y P/E Exit£1.21£1.76£2.3171
10Y Revenue Exit£1.75£2.59£3.6467
10Y EBITDA Exit£1.88£2.75£3.8468
10Y P/E Exit£1.51£2.03£2.6065
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd£0.5800£1.55£2.0365
Lynch FV£0.3000£0.4300£0.560061
PEG = 1.0£0.3000£0.4300£0.560057
EPV£1.16£1.36£1.5374
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM£0.3300£0.6000£0.830068
DDM Multi-Stage£0.3300£0.4800£0.620067
Multiples
P/E Multiple£1.09£1.45£1.8263
P/S Multiple£1.09£1.45£1.8258
P/B Multiple£2.52£3.36£4.2055
EV/EBIT£1.81£2.53£3.2666
EV/EBITDA£1.92£2.69£3.4567
EV/Revenue£1.51£2.33£3.1453
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)£0.5600£0.7500£1.1254
Growth DCF
Growth DCF£2.03£2.83£3.8279
Rev-Margin DCF£1.70£2.68£3.7772
Economic Profit
Residual Income£0.9200£0.9500£1.0376
ROIC Compounder£1.16£1.42£1.7272
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E£0.8700£1.25£1.6267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.1% vs −5.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.3% a year for the price and −0.5% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.5% · Above median
Return on assets4.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)8.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−13.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forterra PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FORT
Frequently asked questions
Is Forterra PLC (FORT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.68 versus a price of £1.68, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FORT?
Our model-based fair value for Forterra PLC is £2.68 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.68.
What is the quality score of FORT?
Forterra PLC has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.68 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.74, optimistic scenario £3.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Forterra PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.68, about +60% upside versus a price of £1.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £1.74, optimistic scenario £3.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Forterra PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £360M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Forterra PLC pay a dividend?
Forterra PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 3.58% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Forterra PLC (FORT) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Forterra PLC pays a dividend of £0.06 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 17, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 42.6% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 66.7%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.67 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Forterra PLC (FORT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Forterra PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -2.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.8 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FORT use?
Our models discount Forterra PLC at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Forterra PLC that is -2.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Forterra PLC (FORT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Forterra PLC grew +5.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -2.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Forterra PLC (FORT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Forterra PLC (-2.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.41 %: that much free cash flow Forterra PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Forterra PLC it is £2.68 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of £1.68. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Forterra PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, FORT trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.68, fair value £2.68, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FORT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2.68). For Forterra PLC the two are £1.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Forterra PLC worth?
The market values Forterra PLC at about £353M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is £1.68; our models calculate a fair value of £2.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FORT?
Our models span a range for Forterra PLC: cautious scenario £1.74, base £2.68, optimistic £3.61 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price £1.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FORT?
Forterra PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £2.68 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 13.4 (reported for FY2025: 21.0). Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of FORT?
The PEG ratio of Forterra PLC is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Forterra PLC (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FORT from its 52-week high?
Forterra PLC trades at £1.68, about 14% below its 52-week high of £1.95 and 31% above the low of £1.28 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £2.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Forterra PLC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, Vulcan Materials Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Forterra PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price £1.68, calculated fair value £2.68 (+60%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FORT calculated?
We run Forterra PLC through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £2.68 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Forterra PLC currently trades 37% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was £1.68. Our model-based fair value is £2.68, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Forterra PLC right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (£1.74 to £3.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Forterra PLC (FORT) come from?
Earnings per share at Forterra PLC grew −6.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.2 %, EBIT margin −6.8 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Forterra PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The market capitalisation of Forterra PLC is £353M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Forterra PLC is 0.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Earnings per share at Forterra PLC are £0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The dividend yield of Forterra PLC is 3.6% (payout 42.6%, on adjusted earnings, reported 66.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The net margin of Forterra PLC is 5.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Forterra PLC is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Forterra PLC is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Forterra PLC (FORT)?
The operating margin of Forterra PLC is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Revenue at Forterra PLC is growing −13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Forterra PLC (FORT)?
Earnings per share at Forterra PLC are growing +37.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Forterra PLC (FORT) carry?
The net debt of Forterra PLC is £75.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026