Frontline Ltd (FRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Frontline Ltd stock $49.96, price $45.42, upside +10.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.32 – $59.19 · fair‑value band $34.97 – $64.95 · the $45.42 price screens below the $49.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers.
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As of December 31, 2025, it operated a fleet of 80 vessels, including 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. The company is also involved in the charter, purchase, and sale of vessels. Frontline plc was founded in 1985 and is based in Limassol, Cyprus.
Stock analysis
Frontline Ltd (FRO) currently trades at $45.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.96, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $61.03 per share, and 6 of the 25 models we run sit above the $45.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.22, and 19 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $34.97 (bear) to $64.95 (bull), the price of $45.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Frontline Ltd reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $749M in FY2021, a compound +27.3%/yr. Reported net income was $379M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $10.1B Large · P/E ratio 6.8 · P/S ratio 3.73 · EPS (TTM) $6.67 · Dividend yield 11.8% · Net margin 54.8% · Return on equity 53.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 78 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 10%, FRO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$34.97Fair Value $49.96Bull$64.95
Price $45.42 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.11 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.7% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.5% vs 3.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.42% → 30%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−17.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.0% a year for the price and −19.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
AI conclusion: Modern fuel-efficient fleet with longer time charters builds revenue visibility, yet the cyclical tanker shipping structure limits any durable moat and leaves high debt as a concern.
Main risk: If enforcement of sanctions on Russian or Iranian oil weakens, dark fleet vessels could re-enter compliant trades and increase effective supply, which would pressure charter rates and margins for Frontline's modern compliant VLCCs and other tankers.
Bull case: By locking in longer time charters on its fully eco fleet and leveraging sanctions-driven demand for compliant tonnage, Frontline could secure more stable revenue streams and widen its cost advantage over less efficient rivals.
Bear case: If sanctions enforcement eases and Sinokor or the dark fleet expands further, a surge in available tonnage could sharply reduce spot and period rates, eroding margins and forcing Frontline to idle vessels or accept lower utilization across its fleet.
Frontline has sold its remaining older non-eco VLCCs to focus on a fully modern, fuel-efficient fleet while securing longer time charters at strong rates. This builds revenue visibility amid tanker markets that remain elevated but have pulled back from recent peaks. Does the emphasis on time charters and efficiency deliver more stable results than staying heavily exposed to spot rate swings, or the reverse?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)53.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)54.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)65.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)96.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)11.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)6.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B4.03× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.73× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.1× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Frontline Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRO
Frequently asked questions
Is Frontline Ltd (FRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.96 versus a price of $45.42, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FRO?
Our model-based fair value for Frontline Ltd is $49.96 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $45.42.
What is the quality score of FRO?
Frontline Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $49.96 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $34.97, optimistic scenario $64.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Frontline Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $49.96, about +10% upside versus a price of $45.42 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $34.97, optimistic scenario $64.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Frontline Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Frontline Ltd pay a dividend?
Frontline Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 11.85% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Frontline Ltd (FRO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Frontline Ltd pays a dividend of $5.38 per share a year, a dividend yield of 11.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 18, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2022. The payout ratio is 80.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.56 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Frontline Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.0 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FRO use?
Our models discount Frontline Ltd at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Frontline Ltd that is +4.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Frontline Ltd (FRO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Frontline Ltd grew +10.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +4.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Frontline Ltd (FRO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Frontline Ltd (+4.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.63 %: that much free cash flow Frontline Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Frontline Ltd it is $49.96 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $45.42. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Frontline Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, FRO trades below its calculated fair value: price $45.42, fair value $49.96, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($45.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($49.96). For Frontline Ltd the two are $4.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Frontline Ltd worth?
The market values Frontline Ltd at about $10.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $45.42; our models calculate a fair value of $49.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FRO?
Our models span a range for Frontline Ltd: cautious scenario $34.97, base $49.96, optimistic $64.95 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $45.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FRO?
Frontline Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.8 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $49.96 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2016, FY2023 ex one-offs: 6.3. Other multiples: PEG 5.6, P/B 4.0, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
What is the PEG ratio of FRO?
The PEG ratio of Frontline Ltd is 5.58 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Frontline Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 53.9%, debt of 1.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FRO from its 52-week high?
Frontline Ltd trades at $45.42, about 23% below its 52-week high of $59.19 and 138% above the low of $19.11 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $49.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Frontline Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Kinder Morgan, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Frontline Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $45.42, calculated fair value $49.96 (+10%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FRO calculated?
We run Frontline Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $49.96 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Frontline Ltd currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $45.42. Our model-based fair value is $49.96, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Frontline Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($34.97 to $64.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Frontline Ltd (FRO) come from?
Earnings per share at Frontline Ltd grew +9.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.3 %, EBIT margin −1.1 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Frontline Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The market capitalisation of Frontline Ltd is $10.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Frontline Ltd is 3.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Earnings per share at Frontline Ltd are $6.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The dividend yield of Frontline Ltd is 11.8% (payout 80.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The net margin of Frontline Ltd is 54.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Frontline Ltd is 53.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Frontline Ltd is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
The operating margin of Frontline Ltd is 65.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Revenue at Frontline Ltd is growing +96.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Frontline Ltd (FRO)?
Earnings per share at Frontline Ltd are growing +750% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Frontline Ltd (FRO) carry?
The net debt of Frontline Ltd is $2.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026