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Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Galan Lithium Ltd stock A$0.13, price A$0.24, that is 43.6% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000021461

GL Galan Lithium Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Galan Lithium Ltd

GLN · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 44% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +126% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +161.1 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.1325 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 30/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/6)
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$2.23 A$0.0880 Fair Value A$0.1325 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0880 – A$2.23 · fair‑value band A$0.0994 – A$0.1656 · the A$0.2350 price screens above the A$0.1325 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Galan Lithium Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of lithium properties.

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Its flagship properties are the 100% owned Hombre Muerto West (HMW) project located in the Hombre Muerto basin Argentina; and the Candelas project that comprises 14 exploration permits covering an area of approximately 24,000 hectares situated in Argentina.

Galan Lithium Limited was formerly known as Dempsey Minerals Limited and changed its name to Galan Lithium Limited in August 2018. Galan Lithium Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN) currently trades at A$0.2350, while our estimate is A$0.1325, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0994 (bear) to A$0.1656 (bull), the price of A$0.2350 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Galan Lithium Ltd reported revenue of A$142K in FY2025 versus A$2.5K in FY2021, a compound +174.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$25.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$274M (≈ $189M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1,525% · Revenue growth (YoY) +126% · Free cash flow −A$3.2M · Net cash A$22.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −44%, GLN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0994 Fair Value A$0.1325 Bull A$0.1656
Price A$0.2350 · Downside -43.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 86
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 25
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 36
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+161.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−226,082.1% (2020) → −6,700.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GLN screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 125.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs GLN
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs GLN
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs GLN
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs GLN
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs GLN
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs GLN
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs GLN
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs GLN
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs GLN
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs GLN

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Galan Lithium Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galan Lithium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLN

Frequently asked questions

Is Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.1325 versus a price of A$0.2350, about 44% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLN?
Our estimate for Galan Lithium Ltd is A$0.1325 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2350.
What is the quality score of GLN?
Galan Lithium Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.1325 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0994, optimistic scenario A$0.1656. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Galan Lithium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.1325, about 44% lower versus a price of A$0.2350 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0994, optimistic scenario A$0.1656. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Galan Lithium Ltd it is A$0.1325 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.2350.
Is Galan Lithium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, GLN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2350, fair value A$0.1325, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GLN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1325). For Galan Lithium Ltd the two are A$0.1025 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Galan Lithium Ltd worth?
The market values Galan Lithium Ltd at about A$274M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2350; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1325 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GLN?
Our models span a range for Galan Lithium Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0994, base A$0.1325, optimistic A$0.1656 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.2350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Galan Lithium Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −11.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GLN from its 52-week high?
Galan Lithium Ltd trades at A$0.2350, about 57% below its 52-week high of A$0.5450 and 57% above the low of A$0.1500 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1325 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Galan Lithium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Galan Lithium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.2350, calculated fair value A$0.1325 (−44%), Quality Score 30/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Galan Lithium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.2350. Our estimate is A$0.1325, about 44% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Galan Lithium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1656). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Galan Lithium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
The market capitalisation of Galan Lithium Ltd is A$274M (≈ $189M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
Earnings per share at Galan Lithium Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Galan Lithium Ltd is −11.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Galan Lithium Ltd is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
The operating margin of Galan Lithium Ltd is −1,525% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN)?
Revenue at Galan Lithium Ltd is growing +126% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN) generate?
The free cash flow of Galan Lithium Ltd is −A$3.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Galan Lithium Ltd (GLN) hold?
Galan Lithium Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$22.5M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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