GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. stock ₹0.49, price ₹2.67, that is 81.6% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Gujarat Cotex Limited engages in trading of textile fabrics in India. It also trades in land and plot. The company was formerly known as Octagon Industries Limited. Gujarat Cotex Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Surat, India.
Stock analysis
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) currently trades at ₹2.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.4900, 82% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹4.42 per share, and 6 of the 20 models we run sit above the ₹2.67 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.1300, and 14 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹0.4100 (bear) to ₹0.6400 (bull), the price of ₹2.67 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. reported revenue of ₹384M in FY2026 versus ₹143M in FY2022, a compound +28.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0M in FY2026, compounding −34.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹256M (≈ $2.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.3000 · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.7% · Revenue (TTM) ₹402M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −82%, GUJCOTEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹0.4100Fair Value ₹0.4900Bull₹0.6400
Price ₹2.67 · Downside -81.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−35.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 0%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−21.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −24.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−81.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)30.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.81× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.64× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 37
PAST (return on equity)6· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.4900 versus a price of ₹2.67, about 82% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GUJCOTEX?
Our model-based fair value for GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is ₹0.4900 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹2.67.
What is the quality score of GUJCOTEX?
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.4900 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.4100, optimistic scenario ₹0.6400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GUJARAT COTEX LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.4900, about 82% lower versus a price of ₹2.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹0.4100, optimistic scenario ₹0.6400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹402M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GUJARAT COTEX LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by -21.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +44.1 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GUJCOTEX use?
Our models discount GUJARAT COTEX LTD. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GUJARAT COTEX LTD. that is -21.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GUJARAT COTEX LTD. grew +44.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -21.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (-21.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 31.47 %: that much free cash flow GUJARAT COTEX LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GUJARAT COTEX LTD. it is ₹0.4900 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ₹2.67. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is GUJARAT COTEX LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, GUJCOTEX trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹2.67, fair value ₹0.4900, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GUJCOTEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹2.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.4900). For GUJARAT COTEX LTD. the two are ₹2.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GUJARAT COTEX LTD. worth?
The market values GUJARAT COTEX LTD. at about ₹256M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ₹2.67; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.4900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GUJCOTEX?
Our models span a range for GUJARAT COTEX LTD.: cautious scenario ₹0.4100, base ₹0.4900, optimistic ₹0.6400 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ₹2.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GUJCOTEX from its 52-week high?
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. trades at ₹2.67, about 79% below its 52-week high of ₹12.76 and 11% above the low of ₹2.40 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹0.4900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GUJARAT COTEX LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GUJARAT COTEX LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ₹2.67, calculated fair value ₹0.4900 (−82%), Quality Score 63/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GUJCOTEX calculated?
We run GUJARAT COTEX LTD. through 20 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹0.4900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. GUJARAT COTEX LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹2.67. Our model-based fair value is ₹0.4900, about 82% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GUJARAT COTEX LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.6400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of GUJARAT COTEX LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The market capitalisation of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is ₹256M (≈ $2.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is 0.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
Earnings per share at GUJARAT COTEX LTD. are ₹−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The net margin of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is −0.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
The operating margin of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
Revenue at GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is growing +30.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
Earnings per share at GUJARAT COTEX LTD. are growing −92.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) carry?
The net debt of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is ₹2.4M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026