Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jupiter Mines Ltd stock A$0.27, price A$0.25, upside +10.0%, quality 70 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1221 – A$0.3295 · fair‑value band A$0.1427 – A$0.4280 · the A$0.2450 price screens below the A$0.2695 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Jupiter Mines Limited operates as an independent mining company in Australia. It explores for manganese deposits. The company's flagship project is the Tshipi Manganese mine located in the Northern Cape of South Africa. Jupiter Mines Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) currently trades at A$0.2450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2695, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.9100 per share, and 9 of the 23 models we run sit above the A$0.2450 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at A$0.1100, and 14 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1427 (bear) to A$0.4280 (bull), the price of A$0.2450 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Jupiter Mines Ltd reported revenue of A$9.3M in FY2026 versus A$7.3M in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$41.7M in FY2026, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$482M (≈ $332M) Small · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 54.6 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 41.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 10%, JMS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.1427Fair Value A$0.2695BullA$0.4280
Price A$0.2450 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0049 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
’14
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’21
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.3% vs −14.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.52% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 374 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.6% · Above median
Return on assets6.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)41.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)51.99× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)34.4× · Pricier than median
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Is Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2695 versus a price of A$0.2450, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JMS?
Our model-based fair value for Jupiter Mines Ltd is A$0.2695 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2450.
What is the quality score of JMS?
Jupiter Mines Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2695 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1427, optimistic scenario A$0.4280. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jupiter Mines Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2695, about +10% upside versus a price of A$0.2450 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.1427, optimistic scenario A$0.4280. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Jupiter Mines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Jupiter Mines Ltd pay a dividend?
Jupiter Mines Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 5.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Jupiter Mines Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.013 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 3, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2018. The payout ratio is 65.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.55 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jupiter Mines Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +21.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JMS use?
Our models discount Jupiter Mines Ltd at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jupiter Mines Ltd that is +21.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jupiter Mines Ltd grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +21.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jupiter Mines Ltd (+21.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.90 %: that much free cash flow Jupiter Mines Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jupiter Mines Ltd it is A$0.2695 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of A$0.2450. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Jupiter Mines Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, JMS trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2450, fair value A$0.2695, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JMS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2695). For Jupiter Mines Ltd the two are A$0.0245 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jupiter Mines Ltd worth?
The market values Jupiter Mines Ltd at about A$482M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2450; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2695 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JMS?
Our models span a range for Jupiter Mines Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1427, base A$0.2695, optimistic A$0.4280 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price A$0.2450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JMS?
Jupiter Mines Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2695 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2019 to 2026), reported earnings: 8.6. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 52.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jupiter Mines Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JMS from its 52-week high?
Jupiter Mines Ltd trades at A$0.2450, about 18% below its 52-week high of A$0.2987 and 4% above the low of A$0.2350 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2695 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jupiter Mines Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jupiter Mines Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price A$0.2450, calculated fair value A$0.2695 (+10%), Quality Score 70/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JMS calculated?
We run Jupiter Mines Ltd through 23 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.2695 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Jupiter Mines Ltd currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.2450. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2695, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jupiter Mines Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1427 to A$0.4280). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Jupiter Mines Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The market capitalisation of Jupiter Mines Ltd is A$482M (≈ $332M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 54.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Earnings per share at Jupiter Mines Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The dividend yield of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 5.3% (payout 65.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The operating margin of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 41.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Revenue at Jupiter Mines Ltd is growing −3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Earnings per share at Jupiter Mines Ltd are growing −16.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) hold?
Jupiter Mines Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$11.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026