Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jupiter Mines Ltd A$0.28, price A$0.25, upside +12.2%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1221 – A$0.3295 · fair‑value band A$0.1320 – A$0.4290 · the A$0.2500 price screens below the A$0.2805 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Jupiter Mines Limited operates as an independent mining company in Australia. It explores for manganese deposits. The company's flagship project is the Tshipi Manganese mine located in the Northern Cape of South Africa. Jupiter Mines Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) currently trades at A$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2805, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.9100 per share, and 9 of the 20 models we run sit above the A$0.2500 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at A$0.0700, and 11 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1320 (bear) to A$0.4290 (bull), the price of A$0.2500 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Jupiter Mines Ltd reported revenue of A$9.3M in FY2026 versus A$7.3M in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$41.7M in FY2026, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$491M (≈ $346M) · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 55.7 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 446% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 12%, JMS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.1320Fair Value A$0.2805Bull A$0.4290
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0069 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +36.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs −15%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.52% → 12%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2805 versus a price of A$0.2500, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JMS?
Our model-based fair value for Jupiter Mines Ltd is A$0.2805 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2500.
What is the quality score of JMS?
Jupiter Mines Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2805 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1320, optimistic scenario A$0.4290. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jupiter Mines Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2805, about +12% upside versus a price of A$0.2500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1320, optimistic scenario A$0.4290. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Jupiter Mines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$9.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Jupiter Mines Ltd pay a dividend?
Jupiter Mines Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jupiter Mines Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +22.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JMS use?
Our models discount Jupiter Mines Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jupiter Mines Ltd that is +22.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jupiter Mines Ltd grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies +22.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jupiter Mines Ltd (+22.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.85 %: that much free cash flow Jupiter Mines Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jupiter Mines Ltd it is A$0.2805 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2500. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jupiter Mines Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JMS trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2500, fair value A$0.2805, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JMS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2805). For Jupiter Mines Ltd the two are A$0.0305 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jupiter Mines Ltd worth?
The market values Jupiter Mines Ltd at about A$491M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2805 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JMS?
Our models span a range for Jupiter Mines Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1320, base A$0.2805, optimistic A$0.4290 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JMS?
Jupiter Mines Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2805 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 37.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jupiter Mines Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JMS from its 52-week high?
Jupiter Mines Ltd trades at A$0.2500, about 16% below its 52-week high of A$0.2987 and 6% above the low of A$0.2350 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2805 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jupiter Mines Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jupiter Mines Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2500, calculated fair value A$0.2805 (+12%), Quality Score 69/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JMS calculated?
We run Jupiter Mines Ltd through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2805, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jupiter Mines Ltd currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2805, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jupiter Mines Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1320 to A$0.4290). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Jupiter Mines Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The market capitalisation of Jupiter Mines Ltd is A$491M (≈ $346M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 55.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Earnings per share at Jupiter Mines Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The dividend yield of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 3.2% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The net margin of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 446% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
The operating margin of Jupiter Mines Ltd is 25.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Revenue at Jupiter Mines Ltd is growing +0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS)?
Earnings per share at Jupiter Mines Ltd are growing +15.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Jupiter Mines Ltd (JMS) hold?
Jupiter Mines Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$11.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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