Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lithium Argentina AG stock $3.13, price $4.25, that is 26.4% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Lithium Argentina AG, a resource company, engages in the operation and development of lithium projects in Argentina. It owns interests in the Cauchari-Olaroz project located in Jujuy province; and the Pastos Grandes project located in Salta Province of Argentina.
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The company was formerly known as Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp. and changed its name to Lithium Argentina AG in January 2025. Lithium Argentina AG was incorporated in 2007 is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) currently trades at $4.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.13, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $2.34 (bear) to $4.67 (bull), the price of $4.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Lithium Argentina AG reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$75.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $725M Small · EPS (TTM) $−0.3400 · Return on equity −6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −$30.5M · Net debt $173M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −26%, LAR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$2.34Fair Value $3.13Bull$4.67
Price $4.25 · Downside -26.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (59 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 371 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−26.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−6.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.95× · Cheaper than median
PEG0.42× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lithium Argentina AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LAR
Frequently asked questions
Is Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.13 versus a price of $4.25, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LAR?
Our model-based fair value for Lithium Argentina AG is $3.13 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.25.
What is the quality score of LAR?
Lithium Argentina AG has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.13 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.34, optimistic scenario $4.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lithium Argentina AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.13, about 26% lower versus a price of $4.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.34, optimistic scenario $4.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lithium Argentina AG it is $3.13 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $4.25. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Lithium Argentina AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, LAR trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.25, fair value $3.13, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.13). For Lithium Argentina AG the two are $1.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lithium Argentina AG worth?
The market values Lithium Argentina AG at about $725M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $4.25; our models calculate a fair value of $3.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LAR?
Our models span a range for Lithium Argentina AG: cautious scenario $2.34, base $3.13, optimistic $4.67 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $4.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of LAR?
The PEG ratio of Lithium Argentina AG is 0.42 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lithium Argentina AG (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −6.6%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LAR from its 52-week high?
Lithium Argentina AG trades at $4.25, about 64% below its 52-week high of $11.79 and 14% above the low of $3.73 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lithium Argentina AG?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lithium Argentina AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $4.25, calculated fair value $3.13 (−26%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LAR calculated?
We run Lithium Argentina AG through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.13 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lithium Argentina AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.25. Our model-based fair value is $3.13, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lithium Argentina AG right now?
Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($2.34 to $4.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Lithium Argentina AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
The market capitalisation of Lithium Argentina AG is $725M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
Earnings per share at Lithium Argentina AG are $−0.3400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lithium Argentina AG is −6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lithium Argentina AG (LAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lithium Argentina AG is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) generate?
The free cash flow of Lithium Argentina AG is −$30.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) carry?
The net debt of Lithium Argentina AG is $173M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026
