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Lode Resources Ltd (LDR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lode Resources Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.07, that is 42.1% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000147258

LR Lode Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Lode Resources Ltd

LDR · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 42% below what the stock costs today.

Ranks above peers (5/7)
Costs just 3.2 times its yearly profit.
Moderate moat 48/100 · thin data
Fair value A$0.0417 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 33/100
Weak Growth
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4550 A$0.0590 Fair Value A$0.0417 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0590 – A$0.4550 · fair‑value band A$0.0356 – A$0.0478 · the A$0.0720 price screens above the A$0.0417 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Lode Resources Ltd engages in identifying and evaluating mineral resource deposits in Australia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, precious and base metals, antimony, lead, and zinc.

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The company's flagship project owned 100% interests in the Montezuma Antimony project located in Tasmania's West Coast mining province. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Lode Resources Ltd (LDR) currently trades at A$0.0720, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0417, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$0.0750 per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$0.0720 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0356 (bear) to A$0.0478 (bull), the price of A$0.0720 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Lode Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$2.0K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was A$456K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$14.6M (≈ $10.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 3.2 · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 117% · Free cash flow −A$2.1M · Net cash A$3.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −42%, LDR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0356 Fair Value A$0.0417 Bull A$0.0478
Price A$0.0720 · Downside -42.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 65
P/E Multiple A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 63
Residual Income A$0.0500 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 52
Lynch FV A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 49
PEG = 1.0 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 63
P/B Multiple A$0.0800 A$0.1100 A$0.1400 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0500 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 58

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 93
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 21
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 10
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 1/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

LDR screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.2% · Above median
Return on assets 2.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 117.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 3.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.87× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.20 $12.51 +36% vs LDR
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.12 $16.21 +15% vs LDR
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $31.37 $32.54 +4% vs LDR
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $26.10 $26.98 +3% vs LDR
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $18.94 $15.34 −19% vs LDR
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹429.45 ₹338.90 −21% vs LDR
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.77 ¥13.23 −21% vs LDR
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$31.54 C$15.00 −52% vs LDR
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$39.73 C$15.63 −61% vs LDR
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,640 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs LDR

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Lode Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lode Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LDR

Frequently asked questions

Is Lode Resources Ltd (LDR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0417 versus a price of A$0.0720, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LDR?
Our model-based fair value for Lode Resources Ltd is A$0.0417 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0720.
What is the quality score of LDR?
Lode Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0417 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0356, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lode Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0417, about 42% lower versus a price of A$0.0720 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0356, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lode Resources Ltd it is A$0.0417 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0720. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Lode Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, LDR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0720, fair value A$0.0417, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LDR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0720); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0417). For Lode Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0303 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lode Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Lode Resources Ltd at about A$14.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0720; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0417 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LDR?
Our models span a range for Lode Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0356, base A$0.0417, optimistic A$0.0478 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0720). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LDR?
Lode Resources Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.2 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0417 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lode Resources Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 3.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LDR from its 52-week high?
Lode Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0720, about 72% below its 52-week high of A$0.2600 and 6% above the low of A$0.0680 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0417 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lode Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lode Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0720, calculated fair value A$0.0417 (−42%), Quality Score 33/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LDR calculated?
We run Lode Resources Ltd through 9 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0417 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lode Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.0720. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0417, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lode Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0478). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Lode Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
The market capitalisation of Lode Resources Ltd is A$14.6M (≈ $10.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lode Resources Ltd is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lode Resources Ltd is −14.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lode Resources Ltd (LDR)?
The operating margin of Lode Resources Ltd is 117% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Lode Resources Ltd (LDR) generate?
The free cash flow of Lode Resources Ltd is −A$2.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lode Resources Ltd (LDR) hold?
Lode Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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