Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A stock €2.57, price €1.02, upside +152.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.7623 – €1.44 · fair‑value band €1.99 – €2.76 · the €1.02 price screens below the €2.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Lucisano Media Group S.p.A. engages in the film production and cinema management activities in Italy. The company produces, acquires, and distributes films for cinemas and televisions. It also operates and manages multiplexes and cinema halls.
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Lucisano Media Group S.p.A. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy. Lucisano Media Group S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Keimos Societa A Responsabilita Limitata.
Stock analysis
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG) currently trades at €1.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.57, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €3.79 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the €1.02 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.3400, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.99 (bear) to €2.76 (bull), the price of €1.02 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A reported revenue of €36.7M in FY2025 versus €27.6M in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was €2.4M in FY2025, compounding −0.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €15.2M Micro · P/E ratio 51.0 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 152%, LMG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€1.99Fair Value €2.57Bull€2.76
Price €1.02 · Upside +152.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 17%
Compare Lucisano Media Group S.p.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 221 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+152.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)15.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−29.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.46× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lucisano Media Group S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LMG.MI
Frequently asked questions
Is Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.57 versus a price of €1.02, about +152% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LMG?
Our model-based fair value for Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is €2.57 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.02.
What is the quality score of LMG?
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.57 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.99, optimistic scenario €2.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lucisano Media Group S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.57, about +152% upside versus a price of €1.02 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.99, optimistic scenario €2.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €30.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Lucisano Media Group S.p.A pay a dividend?
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of 2.94% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A pays a dividend of €0.03 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.9%. The last ex-dividend date was May 18, 2026. The payout ratio is 150% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lucisano Media Group S.p.A it is €2.57 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of €1.02. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Lucisano Media Group S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, LMG trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.02, fair value €2.57, a gap of about +152% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LMG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.57). For Lucisano Media Group S.p.A the two are €1.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lucisano Media Group S.p.A worth?
The market values Lucisano Media Group S.p.A at about €15.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is €1.02; our models calculate a fair value of €2.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LMG?
Our models span a range for Lucisano Media Group S.p.A: cautious scenario €1.99, base €2.57, optimistic €2.76 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price €1.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LMG?
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 51.0 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.57 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 7.2. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LMG from its 52-week high?
Lucisano Media Group S.p.A trades at €1.02, about 22% below its 52-week high of €1.30 and 12% above the low of €0.9118 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lucisano Media Group S.p.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lucisano Media Group S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price €1.02, calculated fair value €2.57 (+152%), Quality Score 50/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LMG calculated?
We run Lucisano Media Group S.p.A through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €2.57 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Lucisano Media Group S.p.A currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €1.02. Our model-based fair value is €2.57, about +152% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lucisano Media Group S.p.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The market capitalisation of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is €15.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Earnings per share at Lucisano Media Group S.p.A are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 51.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The dividend yield of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is 2.9% (payout 150%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The net margin of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is 0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
The operating margin of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Revenue at Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is growing −29.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG)?
Earnings per share at Lucisano Media Group S.p.A are growing −49.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG) generate?
The free cash flow of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is −€15.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lucisano Media Group S.p.A (LMG) carry?
The net debt of Lucisano Media Group S.p.A is €22.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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