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Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lotus Resources Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.19, that is 81.6% below the price, quality 23 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000058737

LR Lotus Resources Ltd logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

Lotus Resources Ltd

LOT · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 17% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued (−81.6%)
Quality 23/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −56.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$5.58 A$0.1600 Fair Value A$0.0340 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1600 – A$5.58 · fair‑value band A$0.0170 – A$0.0340 · the A$0.1850 price screens above the A$0.0340 fair value. As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Lotus Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of uranium projects in Africa. The company owns an 85% interest in the Kayelekera uranium project located in Malawi; and owns 100% interest in the Letlhakane uranium project situated in Botswana.

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The company was formerly known as Hylea Metals Limited and changed its name to Lotus Resources Limited in August 2019. Lotus Resources Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT) currently trades at A$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, 81.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0170 (bear) to A$0.0340 (bull), the price of A$0.1850 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Lotus Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$197K in FY2025 versus A$127K in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$83.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$115M (≈ $80.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 40.9 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.2300 · Return on equity −40.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.0% · Operating margin −2,339% · Revenue growth (YoY) −16.8% · Free cash flow −A$181M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 94% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −82%, LOT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0170 Fair Value A$0.0340 Bull A$0.0340
Price A$0.1850 · Downside -81.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 20
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 14
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 8
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.4% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3,582.6% (2020) → −9,290.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LOT screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 361 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −24.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −16.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 40.87× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥29.07 ¥32.43 +12% vs LOT
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 55.65 SAR 60.39 SAR +9% vs LOT
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹518.00 ₹556.38 +7% vs LOT
Boliden AB BOL kr 516.00 kr 464.45 −10% vs LOT
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥30.31 ¥25.57 −16% vs LOT
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹246.00 ₹194.69 −21% vs LOT
Korea Zinc Company 010130 876,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −26% vs LOT
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥33.81 ¥19.72 −42% vs LOT
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.32 ¥6.99 −48% vs LOT
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$9.04 C$4.43 −51% vs LOT

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Lotus Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lotus Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOT

Frequently asked questions

Is Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.1850, about 82% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOT?
Our model-based fair value for Lotus Resources Ltd is A$0.0340 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1850.
What is the quality score of LOT?
Lotus Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0340 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0340. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lotus Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0340, about 82% lower versus a price of A$0.1850 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0340. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lotus Resources Ltd it is A$0.0340 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of A$0.1850. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lotus Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, LOT trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1850, fair value A$0.0340, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0340). For Lotus Resources Ltd the two are A$0.1510 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lotus Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Lotus Resources Ltd at about A$115M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1850; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOT?
Our models span a range for Lotus Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0170, base A$0.0340, optimistic A$0.0340 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price A$0.1850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lotus Resources Ltd (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −40.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOT from its 52-week high?
Lotus Resources Ltd trades at A$0.1850, about 94% below its 52-week high of A$3.24 and 16% above the low of A$0.1600 (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lotus Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Boliden AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lotus Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price A$0.1850, calculated fair value A$0.0340 (−82%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOT calculated?
We run Lotus Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Lotus Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was A$0.1850. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0340, about 82% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lotus Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0340). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0170 to A$0.0340) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Lotus Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
The market capitalisation of Lotus Resources Ltd is A$115M (≈ $80.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lotus Resources Ltd is 40.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
Earnings per share at Lotus Resources Ltd are A$−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lotus Resources Ltd is −40.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lotus Resources Ltd is −15.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
The operating margin of Lotus Resources Ltd is −2,339% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT)?
Revenue at Lotus Resources Ltd is growing −16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −56.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT) generate?
The free cash flow of Lotus Resources Ltd is −A$181M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lotus Resources Ltd (LOT) hold?
Lotus Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$19.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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