Lotus Technology Inc (LOT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $745M
Lotus Technology Inc
LOT · US
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price −22.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 53% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (13/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8290 – $14.25 · fair‑value band $1.09 – $1.82 · the $0.9496 price screens below the $1.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Lotus Technology Inc (LOT) currently trades at $0.9496, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.45, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lotus Technology Inc generated revenue of $519M at a net margin of -89.4%. Revenue declined 39.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.09 (bear case) to $1.82 (bull case); at $0.9496, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 53%, LOT screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 15 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lotus Technology Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of battery electric lifestyle vehicles worldwide. It distributes and sells sports cars under the Lotus brand. The company is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lotus Technology Inc reported revenue of $924M in FY2025 versus $3.7M in FY2022, a compound +530.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1B in FY2025.
Watch LOT: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Lotus Tech Announces Operational and Earnings Reporting Updates
- Lotus Tech Announces Change to Board Composition
- Latest News In Electric Vehicles - Lotus Unveils Eletre X Suv With Ultra-Fast Charging
- Lotus opens orders for Eletre X in mainland Europe
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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