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Petro Matad Ltd (MATD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Petro Matad Ltd stock £0.01, price £0.01, that is 1.9% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy GB · ISIN IM00B292WR19

PM Petro Matad Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Petro Matad Ltd

MATD · LSE
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Revenue last quarter +94% vs. a year ago.
Fair value £0.0079 · Fairly valued
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +115.6 %/yr in USD)
Quality 33/100
Loss-making · -73.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£0.0710 £0.0071 Fair Value £0.0079 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.0071 – £0.0710 · fair‑value band £0.0077 – £0.0080 · the £0.0080 price screens above the £0.0079 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Petro Matad Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil in Mongolia.

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It holds 100% interests in production sharing contract blocks, including Matad Block XX that consists of an area of approximately 214 square kilometers in Mongolia; and Borzon Block VII, which consist of an area of 41,141 square kilometers in Mongolia.

The company also invests in renewable energy projects. Petro Matad Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Douglas, Isle of Man.

Stock analysis

Petro Matad Ltd (MATD) currently trades at £0.0080, while our estimate is £0.0079, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.9%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: £0.0077 (bear) to £0.0080 (bull), the price of £0.0080 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Petro Matad Ltd reported revenue of $3.0M in FY2025 versus $46.0K in FY2021, a compound +183.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap £14.9M Micro · P/S ratio 3.60 · Net margin −145% · Return on equity −17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −12.9% · Revenue (TTM) $4.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) +94.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −2%, MATD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear £0.0077 Fair Value £0.0079 Bull £0.0080
Price £0.0080 · Downside -1.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 62
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 82
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 7
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+263.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+145.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+115.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5,070.3% (2020) → −114.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Petro Matad Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Below median
Fair Value upside −1.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −73.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −12.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 94.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 4.66× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)31 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 97
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.08 $242.64 +36% vs MATD
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.76 HK$26.80 +18% vs MATD
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.24 $53.41 +11% vs MATD
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $151.51 $166.94 +10% vs MATD
EQT Corporation EQT $52.00 $54.90 +6% vs MATD
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.07 $19.39 −8% vs MATD
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.41 $39.64 −9% vs MATD
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $135.59 $92.89 −31% vs MATD
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.90 $33.18 −42% vs MATD
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 314.60 kr 127.39 −60% vs MATD

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Petro Matad Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petro Matad Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MATD

Frequently asked questions

Is Petro Matad Ltd (MATD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is £0.0079 versus a price of £0.0080, about 2% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MATD?
Our estimate for Petro Matad Ltd is £0.0079 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.0080.
What is the quality score of MATD?
Petro Matad Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of £0.0079 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario £0.0077, optimistic scenario £0.0080. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Petro Matad Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at £0.0079, about 2% lower versus a price of £0.0080 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £0.0077, optimistic scenario £0.0080. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
Petro Matad Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petro Matad Ltd it is £0.0079 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of £0.0080.
Is Petro Matad Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MATD trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.0080, fair value £0.0079, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MATD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.0080); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0079). For Petro Matad Ltd the two are £0.0002 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petro Matad Ltd worth?
The market values Petro Matad Ltd at about £14.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is £0.0080; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0079 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MATD?
Our models span a range for Petro Matad Ltd: cautious scenario £0.0077, base £0.0079, optimistic £0.0080 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price £0.0080). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petro Matad Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −17.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MATD from its 52-week high?
Petro Matad Ltd trades at £0.0080, about 46% below its 52-week high of £0.0148 and 3% above the low of £0.0078 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0079 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petro Matad Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petro Matad Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price £0.0080, calculated fair value £0.0079 (−2%), Quality Score 33/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Petro Matad Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was £0.0080. Our estimate is £0.0079, about 2% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petro Matad Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (£0.0077 to £0.0080), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Petro Matad Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
The market capitalisation of Petro Matad Ltd is £14.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petro Matad Ltd is 3.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
The net margin of Petro Matad Ltd is −145% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petro Matad Ltd is −17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petro Matad Ltd is −23.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
The operating margin of Petro Matad Ltd is −12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petro Matad Ltd (MATD)?
Revenue at Petro Matad Ltd is growing +94.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +146%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Petro Matad Ltd (MATD) generate?
The free cash flow of Petro Matad Ltd is −$2.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Petro Matad Ltd (MATD) hold?
Petro Matad Ltd holds more cash than debt, $3.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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