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Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Medallion Metals Ltd stock A$0.23, price A$0.45, that is 47.3% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000138828

MM Medallion Metals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Medallion Metals Ltd

MM8 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 47% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value A$0.2343 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 29/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −24.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.5900 A$0.0475 Fair Value A$0.2343 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0475 – A$0.5900 · fair‑value band A$0.1757 – A$0.2928 · the A$0.4450 price screens above the A$0.2343 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Medallion Metals Limited engages in mineral exploration activities in Australia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc deposits.

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The company's flagship property is the 100% owned Ravensthorpe gold project covering an area of approximately 600 square kilometers located in Perth, Western Australia. Medallion Metals Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8) currently trades at A$0.4450, while our estimate is A$0.2343, 47% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.1757 (bear) to A$0.2928 (bull), the price of A$0.4450 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Medallion Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$1.3M in FY2025 versus A$2.1M in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$18.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$355M (≈ $244M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −33.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −859% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) +257% · Free cash flow −A$20.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −47%, MM8 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.1757 Fair Value A$0.2343 Bull A$0.2928
Price A$0.4450 · Downside -47.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 98
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 38
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 43
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 19
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−693.8% (2020) → −1,454.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MM8 screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 256.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.11× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.36 $12.73 +36% vs MM8
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.29 $16.21 +13% vs MM8
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $32.15 $32.54 +1% vs MM8
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $27.08 $26.98 +0% vs MM8
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹426.80 ₹338.90 −21% vs MM8
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $19.33 $15.34 −21% vs MM8
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.98 ¥13.23 −22% vs MM8
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.07 C$15.00 −53% vs MM8
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$40.87 C$15.63 −62% vs MM8
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,730 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs MM8

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Medallion Metals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Medallion Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MM8

Frequently asked questions

Is Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.2343 versus a price of A$0.4450, about 47% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MM8?
Our estimate for Medallion Metals Ltd is A$0.2343 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4450.
What is the quality score of MM8?
Medallion Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.2343 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.1757, optimistic scenario A$0.2928. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Medallion Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.2343, about 47% lower versus a price of A$0.4450 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1757, optimistic scenario A$0.2928. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
Medallion Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Medallion Metals Ltd it is A$0.2343 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.4450.
Is Medallion Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MM8 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.4450, fair value A$0.2343, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MM8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2343). For Medallion Metals Ltd the two are A$0.2107 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Medallion Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Medallion Metals Ltd at about A$355M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4450; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2343 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MM8?
Our models span a range for Medallion Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1757, base A$0.2343, optimistic A$0.2928 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.4450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Medallion Metals Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −33.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MM8 from its 52-week high?
Medallion Metals Ltd trades at A$0.4450, about 21% below its 52-week high of A$0.5650 and 35% above the low of A$0.3300 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2343 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Medallion Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Medallion Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.4450, calculated fair value A$0.2343 (−47%), Quality Score 29/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Medallion Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.4450. Our estimate is A$0.2343, about 47% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Medallion Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2928). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Medallion Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
The market capitalisation of Medallion Metals Ltd is A$355M (≈ $244M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
Earnings per share at Medallion Metals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Medallion Metals Ltd is −33.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Medallion Metals Ltd is −22.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
The operating margin of Medallion Metals Ltd is −859% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8)?
Revenue at Medallion Metals Ltd is growing +257% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8) generate?
The free cash flow of Medallion Metals Ltd is −A$20.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Medallion Metals Ltd (MM8) hold?
Medallion Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$53.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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