Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company stock $12.33, price $21.35, that is 42.2% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.41 – $919,762 · fair‑value band $7.90 – $17.83 · the $21.35 price screens above the $12.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company provides telecommunication and portable phone services in Japan. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Naha, Japan. Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is a subsidiary of KDDI Corporation.
Stock analysis
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) currently trades at $21.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.33, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $18.88 per share, and 2 of the 25 models we run sit above the $21.35 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.62, and 23 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.90 (bear) to $17.83 (bull), the price of $21.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company reported revenue of ¥86.9B in FY2026 versus ¥73.4B in FY2022, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥13.3B in FY2026, compounding +5.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B Small · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 3.37 · EPS (TTM) $0.9700 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 14.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at −42%, OKCTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$7.90Fair Value $12.33Bull$17.83
Price $21.35 · Downside -42.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3340 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$8.39$12.17$17.7980
Growth DCF$8.67$12.24$17.3379
Owner Earnings$8.02$11.62$16.9976
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$8.39$12.17$17.7980
Owner Earnings$8.02$11.62$16.9976
5Y Revenue Exit$10.46$16.36$23.6472
5Y EBITDA Exit$8.38$12.67$17.4475
5Y P/E Exit$11.71$18.57$25.3871
10Y Revenue Exit$9.27$14.48$20.9466
10Y EBITDA Exit$8.31$11.94$16.3469
10Y P/E Exit$10.43$16.00$22.2364
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$6.25$14.14$18.0965
PEG = 1.0$2.32$3.32$4.3257
EPV$9.81$11.50$13.0074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$4.01$6.75$10.1167
DDM Multi-Stage$4.01$5.97$8.2566
Multiples
P/E Multiple$15.17$20.23$25.2963
P/S Multiple$11.73$15.63$19.5458
P/B Multiple$17.97$23.96$29.9555
EV/EBIT$16.20$21.52$26.8466
EV/EBITDA$9.54$12.64$15.7467
EV/Revenue$12.34$17.53$22.7253
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$2.39$3.62$4.5354
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$8.67$12.24$17.3379
Rev-Margin DCF$10.46$16.40$22.6873
Economic Profit
Residual Income$6.72$8.15$11.1276
ROIC Compounder$10.15$12.56$15.2972
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$11.33$16.18$21.0467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.7% vs 0.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 22%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.7% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−42.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.3% · Above median
Return on assets11.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)16.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)26.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OKCTF
Frequently asked questions
Is Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.33 versus the last price from Nov 2, 2026 of $21.35, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OKCTF?
Our model-based fair value for Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is $12.33 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Nov 2, 2026): $21.35.
What is the quality score of OKCTF?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.33 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.90, optimistic scenario $17.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.33, about 42% lower versus the last price from Nov 2, 2026 of $21.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.90, optimistic scenario $17.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥87.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company pay a dividend?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company currently shows a dividend yield of 1.98% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company pays a dividend of $0.423 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.0%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2010. The payout ratio is 46.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.73 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company would have to grow free cash flow by +13.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OKCTF use?
Our models discount Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company that is +13.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +13.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (+13.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.41 %: that much free cash flow Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company it is $12.33 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $21.35. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, OKCTF trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.35, fair value $12.33, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OKCTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.33). For Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company the two are $9.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company worth?
The market values Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $21.35; our models calculate a fair value of $12.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OKCTF?
Our models span a range for Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company: cautious scenario $7.90, base $12.33, optimistic $17.83 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $21.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OKCTF?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 14.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OKCTF from its 52-week high?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company trades at $21.35, about 12% below its 52-week high of $24.27 and 59% above the low of $13.43 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $21.35, calculated fair value $12.33 (−42%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OKCTF calculated?
We run Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $12.33 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The latest price we hold is from Nov 2, 2026 and stands at $21.35. Our model-based fair value is $12.33, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.90 to $17.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) come from?
Earnings per share at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company grew +4.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.8 %, EBIT margin +6.9 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The market capitalisation of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is 3.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Earnings per share at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company are $0.9700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The dividend yield of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is 2.0% (payout 43.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The net margin of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is 15.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is 14.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
The operating margin of Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Revenue at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF)?
Earnings per share at Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company are growing +26.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company (OKCTF) hold?
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company holds more cash than debt, ¥3.4B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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