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Personel Alih Daya (PADA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Personel Alih Daya stock IDR 23, price IDR 79, that is 71.2% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials ID

PA Personel Alih Daya logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Personel Alih Daya

PADA · JK
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 71% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +81% vs. a year ago.
Quality 55/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr in IDR)
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
Fair value 22.75 IDR · Strongly overvalued
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 26/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

392.00 IDR 9.00 IDR Fair Value 22.75 IDR Dec 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range 9.00 IDR – 392.00 IDR · fair‑value band 22.10 IDR – 24.57 IDR · the 79.00 IDR price screens above the 22.75 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk provides labor services in Indonesia. It operates through Personel Support and Office Service, Call Center Service, Security Service, Technical and Maintenance, Courier, Fiber To The Home and Project Management Office, and Regional segments.

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The company offers office services; technical services, including building and network maintenance, electrical, site maintenance, roll out, network, power supply, office management, civil, and fiber to the home services; and security, training and education, K9, consultancy, and event and executive security; and customer care center services.

It also provides training and consulting services; driver; landscaping and gardening; interior design; delivery and expedition; business support; courier; outdoor training; executive training; fixed wireless access; call centre and sales; and headhunter services, as well as retirement and certification programs.

The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Kopindosat.

Stock analysis

Personel Alih Daya (PADA) currently trades at 79.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.75 IDR, 71% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 57.34 IDR per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the 79.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at 18.18 IDR, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 22.10 IDR (bear) to 24.57 IDR (bull), the price of 79.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Personel Alih Daya reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 701B IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 249B IDR (≈ $13.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.18 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (4-year average) · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) 1.6T IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +81.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −71%, PADA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 22.10 IDR Fair Value 22.75 IDR Bull 24.57 IDR
Price 79.00 IDR · Downside -71.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 22.10 IDR 22.75 IDR 24.57 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 26.41 IDR 30.20 IDR 33.35 IDR 72
EPV 26.41 IDR 30.20 IDR 33.35 IDR 71
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.36 IDR 30.38 IDR 42.23 IDR 63
Lynch FV 8.53 IDR 12.19 IDR 15.84 IDR 61
PEG = 1.0 8.53 IDR 12.19 IDR 15.84 IDR 57
EPV 26.41 IDR 30.20 IDR 33.35 IDR 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 12.42 IDR 16.55 IDR 20.69 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 10.05 IDR 13.40 IDR 16.75 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 123.95 IDR 165.27 IDR 206.58 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 56.20 IDR 75.58 IDR 94.96 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 39.56 IDR 57.34 IDR 75.13 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.17 IDR 18.43 IDR 23.04 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 22.10 IDR 22.75 IDR 24.57 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 26.41 IDR 30.20 IDR 33.35 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 12.72 IDR 18.18 IDR 23.63 IDR 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 40
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 1%

PADA screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with Randstad N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.5% · Below median
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 81.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.20× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 77
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)14 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 68

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
FESCO Group 600861 ¥13.05 ¥39.00 +199% vs PADA
Shanghai Foreign Service Holding 600662 ¥4.34 ¥7.94 +83% vs PADA
TriNet Group TNET $66.63 $106.61 +60% vs PADA
Korn Ferry, KFY $75.38 $104.11 +38% vs PADA
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 22.68 CHF 25.75 +14% vs PADA
Randstad N.V RAND €41.24 €35.79 −13% vs PADA
Kforce Inc KFRC $54.15 $35.05 −35% vs PADA
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN $44.50 $27.93 −37% vs PADA
Robert Half Inc RHI $41.84 $23.55 −44% vs PADA
Insperity, Inc NSP $49.82 $17.38 −65% vs PADA

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Personel Alih Daya: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Personel Alih Daya Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PADA

Frequently asked questions

Is Personel Alih Daya (PADA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.75 IDR versus a price of 79.00 IDR, about 71% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PADA?
Our model-based fair value for Personel Alih Daya is 22.75 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 79.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PADA?
Personel Alih Daya has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.75 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 22.10 IDR, optimistic scenario 24.57 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Personel Alih Daya stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.75 IDR, about 71% lower versus a price of 79.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 22.10 IDR, optimistic scenario 24.57 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Personel Alih Daya reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Personel Alih Daya it is 22.75 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 79.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Personel Alih Daya stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, PADA trades above its calculated fair value: price 79.00 IDR, fair value 22.75 IDR, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PADA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (79.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.75 IDR). For Personel Alih Daya the two are 56.25 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Personel Alih Daya worth?
The market values Personel Alih Daya at about 249B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 79.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 22.75 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PADA?
Our models span a range for Personel Alih Daya: cautious scenario 22.10 IDR, base 22.75 IDR, optimistic 24.57 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 79.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Personel Alih Daya (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 3.5%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PADA from its 52-week high?
Personel Alih Daya trades at 79.00 IDR, about 80% below its 52-week high of 392.00 IDR and at the low of 79.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.75 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Personel Alih Daya?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Randstad N.V, Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Personel Alih Daya stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 79.00 IDR, calculated fair value 22.75 IDR (−71%), Quality Score 55/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PADA calculated?
We run Personel Alih Daya through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 22.75 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Personel Alih Daya itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 79.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 22.75 IDR, about 71% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Personel Alih Daya right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (24.57 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (22.10 IDR to 24.57 IDR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Personel Alih Daya

How large is the market capitalisation of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The market capitalisation of Personel Alih Daya is 249B IDR (≈ $13.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Personel Alih Daya is 0.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The net margin of Personel Alih Daya is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Personel Alih Daya is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Personel Alih Daya is 2.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The operating margin of Personel Alih Daya is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Revenue at Personel Alih Daya is growing +81.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Earnings per share at Personel Alih Daya are growing +24.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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