PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk (PADA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 365B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +72.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.35 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range 9.00 IDR – 392.00 IDR · fair‑value band 12.42 IDR – 21.35 IDR · the 185.00 IDR price screens above the 18.18 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk (PADA) currently trades at 185.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.18 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 90.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk generated revenue of 1.4T IDR at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 82.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.42 IDR (bear case) to 21.35 IDR (bull case); at 185.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at -90%, PADA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (25.58 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (12.19 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk provides labor services in Indonesia. It operates through Personel Support and Office Service, Call Center Service, Security Service, Technical and Maintenance, Courier, Fiber To The Home and Project Management Office, and Regional segments.
Full company description
PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk provides labor services in Indonesia. It operates through Personel Support and Office Service, Call Center Service, Security Service, Technical and Maintenance, Courier, Fiber To The Home and Project Management Office, and Regional segments. The company offers office services; technical services, including building and network maintenance, electrical, site maintenance, roll out, network, power supply, office management, civil, and fiber to the home services; and security, training and education, K9, consultancy, and event and executive security; and customer care center services. It also provides training and consulting services; driver; landscaping and gardening; interior design; delivery and expedition; business support; courier; outdoor training; executive training; fixed wireless access; call centre and sales; and headhunter services, as well as retirement and certification programs. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Kopindosat.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 701B IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.
PADA screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Adecco Group →
Peer Group
Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adecco Group ADEN | CHF 20.46 | CHF 23.73 | +16% |
| Korn Ferry, KFY | $78.61 | $114.56 | +46% |
| Robert Half Inc RHI | $36.70 | $22.10 | -40% |
| TriNet Group TNET | $57.56 | $70.85 | +23% |
| ManpowerGroup Inc MAN | $39.02 | $29.67 | -24% |
| Insperity, Inc NSP | $49.48 | $17.34 | -65% |
| FESCO Group 600861 | ¥13.24 | ¥45.46 | +243% |
| Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP | 47.40 PLN | 65.45 PLN | +38% |
| Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI | $37.43 | $38.42 | +3% |
| Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 | 5.36 SAR | 6.92 SAR | +29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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