Personel Alih Daya (PADA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Personel Alih Daya IDR 18, price IDR 179, upside -89.8%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range 9.00 IDR – 392.00 IDR · fair‑value band 12.72 IDR – 20.69 IDR · the 179.00 IDR price screens above the 18.18 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk provides labor services in Indonesia. It operates through Personel Support and Office Service, Call Center Service, Security Service, Technical and Maintenance, Courier, Fiber To The Home and Project Management Office, and Regional segments.
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PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk provides labor services in Indonesia. It operates through Personel Support and Office Service, Call Center Service, Security Service, Technical and Maintenance, Courier, Fiber To The Home and Project Management Office, and Regional segments. The company offers office services; technical services, including building and network maintenance, electrical, site maintenance, roll out, network, power supply, office management, civil, and fiber to the home services; and security, training and education, K9, consultancy, and event and executive security; and customer care center services. It also provides training and consulting services; driver; landscaping and gardening; interior design; delivery and expedition; business support; courier; outdoor training; executive training; fixed wireless access; call centre and sales; and headhunter services, as well as retirement and certification programs. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Personel Alih Daya Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Kopindosat.
Stock analysis
Personel Alih Daya (PADA) currently trades at 179.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.18 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 884.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 25.00 IDR per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 179.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 12.19 IDR, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 12.72 IDR (bear) to 20.69 IDR (bull), the price of 179.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Personel Alih Daya reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 701B IDR in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 564B IDR (≈ $31.5M) · P/S ratio 0.27 · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin 1.5% · Revenue (TTM) 1.4T IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +82.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 149% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −90%, PADA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.72 IDRFair Value 18.18 IDRBull 20.69 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.4% (2020) → 1.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth82% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 1
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 73
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Personel Alih Daya Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PADA
Frequently asked questions
Is Personel Alih Daya (PADA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.18 IDR versus a price of 179.00 IDR, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PADA?
Our model-based fair value for Personel Alih Daya is 18.18 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 179.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PADA?
Personel Alih Daya has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.18 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.72 IDR, optimistic scenario 20.69 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Personel Alih Daya stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.18 IDR, about −90% upside versus a price of 179.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12.72 IDR, optimistic scenario 20.69 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Personel Alih Daya reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Personel Alih Daya it is 18.18 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 179.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Personel Alih Daya stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PADA trades above its calculated fair value: price 179.00 IDR, fair value 18.18 IDR, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PADA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (179.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.18 IDR). For Personel Alih Daya the two are 160.82 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Personel Alih Daya worth?
The market values Personel Alih Daya at about 564B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 179.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 18.18 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PADA?
Our models span a range for Personel Alih Daya: cautious scenario 12.72 IDR, base 18.18 IDR, optimistic 20.69 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 179.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Personel Alih Daya (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PADA from its 52-week high?
Personel Alih Daya trades at 179.00 IDR, about 54% below its 52-week high of 392.00 IDR and 149% above the low of 72.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.18 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Personel Alih Daya?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, TriNet Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Personel Alih Daya stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 179.00 IDR, calculated fair value 18.18 IDR (−90%), Quality Score 55/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PADA calculated?
We run Personel Alih Daya through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.18 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Personel Alih Daya itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 179.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 18.18 IDR, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Personel Alih Daya right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.69 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Personel Alih Daya
How large is the market capitalisation of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The market capitalisation of Personel Alih Daya is 564B IDR (≈ $31.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Personel Alih Daya is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The net margin of Personel Alih Daya is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Personel Alih Daya is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Personel Alih Daya is 2.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
The operating margin of Personel Alih Daya is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Revenue at Personel Alih Daya is growing +82.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Personel Alih Daya (PADA)?
Earnings per share at Personel Alih Daya are growing +24.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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