Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Perdoceo Education Corp stock $40.81, price $26.88, upside +51.8%, quality 81 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.20 – $37.58 · fair‑value band $31.25 – $55.67 · the $26.88 price screens below the $40.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Perdoceo Education Corporation provides postsecondary education through online, campus-based, and blended learning programs in the United States.
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It operates through three segments: Colorado Technical University (CTU), The American InterContinental University System (AIUS), and University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences (USAHS). The CTU segment offers academic programs in the career-oriented disciplines of business and management, nursing, healthcare management, computer science, engineering, information systems and technology, project management, cybersecurity, and criminal justice.
Its AIUS segment provides academic programs in the career-oriented disciplines of business studies, information technologies, education, and behavioral sciences.
The USAHS segment offers graduate health sciences degrees in physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech language therapy, and nursing, as well as continuing education programs. The company also provides non-degree seeking and professional development programs.
In addition, it operates intellipath, a learning platform, as well as a mobile application and two-way messaging platform. The company was formerly known as Career Education Corporation and changed its name to Perdoceo Education Corporation in January 2020.
Perdoceo Education Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Schaumburg, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) currently trades at $26.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.81, implying the stock looks roughly 34% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $42.46 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $26.88 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.76, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $31.25 (bear) to $55.67 (bull), the price of $26.88 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Perdoceo Education Corp reported revenue of $846M in FY2025 versus $693M in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was $160M in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.7B Small · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 1.99 · EPS (TTM) $2.75 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 20.6% · Return on equity 17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 76 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 52%, PRDO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$31.25Fair Value $40.81Bull$55.67
Price $26.88 · Upside +51.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.82 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors sold shares worth $3.2M and none bought.
SaleTodd S NelsonPresident and CEO, Director4× since Dec 15, 2025: 301,932 shares, avg. $32.66$9.9MSep 15, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleGregory L. JacksonDirector11,271 shares at $31.78$358,192Aug 11, 2026
SaleKenda B GonzalesDirector9,308 shares at $34.79$323,825Jun 4, 2026
SaleMichele A PeppersPrincipal Accounting Officer14,000 shares at $34.50$483,000May 13, 2026
SalePatrick W GrossDirector3,647 shares at $34.98$127,572May 12, 2026
SaleJulia A. LeemanSVP - Campus Operations11,315 shares at $35.51$401,796May 12, 2026
SaleGreg E. JansenSVP, General Counsel30,158 shares at $38.00$1.1MApr 6, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleAshish R GhiaCFO2× since Mar 18, 2026: 44,360 shares, avg. $35.56$1.6MMar 25, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleLeslie T ThorntonDirector21,129 shares at $35.37$747,333Mar 13, 2026
SaleDavid C. CzeszewskiSVP, CIO36,225 shares at $32.81$1.2MFeb 25, 2026
Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+12.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.3% vs 12.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.7%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.3% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (90 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Perdoceo's main strength lies in disciplined operations delivering strong margins and cash flow alongside healthcare expansion, while its main weak point is limited evidence on moat durability amid sector regulatory sensitivities.
Main risk: The South University acquisition raises regulatory or integration demands that could offset enrollment stability gains from added healthcare scale.
Perdoceo is expanding into healthcare education with its acquisition of South University. The move targets growing demand in a key segment while the company maintains disciplined operations. Does the added scale boost enrollment stability more than it increases regulatory or integration demands?
Compare Perdoceo Education Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+51.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)17.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)20.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)25.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.99× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)7.9× · Cheaper than median
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Is Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.81 versus a price of $26.88, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PRDO?
Our model-based fair value for Perdoceo Education Corp is $40.81 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.88.
What is the quality score of PRDO?
Perdoceo Education Corp has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $40.81 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.25, optimistic scenario $55.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Perdoceo Education Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $40.81, about +52% upside versus a price of $26.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $31.25, optimistic scenario $55.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Perdoceo Education Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $859M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Perdoceo Education Corp pay a dividend?
Perdoceo Education Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Perdoceo Education Corp pays a dividend of $0.62 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 1, 2026. The payout ratio is 21.3% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 22.5%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.58 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Perdoceo Education Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -13.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.2 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PRDO use?
Our models discount Perdoceo Education Corp at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.75, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Perdoceo Education Corp that is -13.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Perdoceo Education Corp grew +4.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -13.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Perdoceo Education Corp (-13.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.68 %: that much free cash flow Perdoceo Education Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Perdoceo Education Corp it is $40.81 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $26.88. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Perdoceo Education Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PRDO trades below its calculated fair value: price $26.88, fair value $40.81, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PRDO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($40.81). For Perdoceo Education Corp the two are $13.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Perdoceo Education Corp worth?
The market values Perdoceo Education Corp at about $1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $26.88; our models calculate a fair value of $40.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PRDO?
Our models span a range for Perdoceo Education Corp: cautious scenario $31.25, base $40.81, optimistic $55.67 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $26.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PRDO?
Perdoceo Education Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $40.81 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 10.3 (reported for FY2025: 10.9). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings, 5 of the years ex one-offs: 10.5. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 1.8, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
What is the PEG ratio of PRDO?
The PEG ratio of Perdoceo Education Corp is 0.61 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Perdoceo Education Corp (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 17.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PRDO from its 52-week high?
Perdoceo Education Corp trades at $26.88, about 28% below its 52-week high of $37.58 and 1% above the low of $26.55 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $40.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Perdoceo Education Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Perdoceo Education Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $26.88, calculated fair value $40.81 (+52%), Quality Score 81/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PRDO calculated?
We run Perdoceo Education Corp through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $40.81 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Perdoceo Education Corp currently trades 34% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $26.88. Our model-based fair value is $40.81, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Perdoceo Education Corp right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (81/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($31.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Perdoceo Education Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The market capitalisation of Perdoceo Education Corp is $1.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Perdoceo Education Corp is 1.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Earnings per share at Perdoceo Education Corp are $2.75 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The dividend yield of Perdoceo Education Corp is 2.3% (payout 21.3%, on adjusted earnings, reported 22.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The net margin of Perdoceo Education Corp is 20.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Perdoceo Education Corp is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Perdoceo Education Corp is 15.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
The operating margin of Perdoceo Education Corp is 25.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Revenue at Perdoceo Education Corp is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO)?
Earnings per share at Perdoceo Education Corp are growing +21.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO) hold?
Perdoceo Education Corp holds more cash than debt, $27.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026