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Data-driven stock valuation

Atha Energy Corp. (SASK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Atha Energy Corp. stock C$0.35, price C$0.84, that is 58.5% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy CA · ISIN CA0468241082

AE Atha Energy Corp. logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Atha Energy Corp.

SASK · V
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 59% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Fair value C$0.3485 · Strongly overvalued (−58.5%)
Quality 25/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$1.90 C$0.3300 Fair Value C$0.3485 Apr 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

43‑month range C$0.3300 – C$1.90 · fair‑value band C$0.2635 – C$0.5270 · the C$0.8400 price screens above the C$0.3485 fair value. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Atha Energy Corp., a mineral company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral resources in Canada. It explores uranium deposits. The company was formerly known as Inglenook Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Atha Energy Corp. in May 2022.

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Atha Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Atha Energy Corp. (SASK) currently trades at C$0.8400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3485, 58.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.2635 (bear) to C$0.5270 (bull), the price of C$0.8400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Atha Energy Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$8.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$304M (≈ $218M) Micro · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0600 · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −99.8% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.2M · Free cash flow −C$25.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −74% fair-value upside, at −59%, SASK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.2635 Fair Value C$0.3485 Bull C$0.5270
Price C$0.8400 · Downside -58.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.3100 C$0.4100 C$0.6200 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.3100 C$0.4100 C$0.6200 51

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 2
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 32
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 33
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SASK screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (6 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Compare Atha Energy Corp. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 26 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.45 A$0.9600 −34% vs SASK
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $103.29 $55.95 −46% vs SASK
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.10 HK$1.08 −48% vs SASK
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $3.35 $1.62 −52% vs SASK
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$0.7350 A$0.1900 −74% vs SASK
China National Uranium Co 001280 ¥56.59 ¥11.54 −80% vs SASK
Berkeley Energia Limited BKY A$0.7950 A$0.1400 −82% vs SASK
Ur-Energy Inc URG $0.8518 $0.1300 −85% vs SASK
Cameco Corporation CCJ $76.91 $10.14 −87% vs SASK
Atomic Eagle Limited AEU A$0.3400 A$0.0425 −88% vs SASK

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Atha Energy Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atha Energy Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SASK

Frequently asked questions

Is Atha Energy Corp. (SASK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3485 versus a price of C$0.8400, about 59% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SASK?
Our model-based fair value for Atha Energy Corp. is C$0.3485 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.8400.
What is the quality score of SASK?
Atha Energy Corp. has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3485 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.2635, optimistic scenario C$0.5270. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atha Energy Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3485, about 59% lower versus a price of C$0.8400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.2635, optimistic scenario C$0.5270. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
Atha Energy Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atha Energy Corp. it is C$0.3485 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of C$0.8400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atha Energy Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, SASK trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.8400, fair value C$0.3485, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SASK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.8400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3485). For Atha Energy Corp. the two are C$0.4915 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atha Energy Corp. worth?
The market values Atha Energy Corp. at about C$304M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is C$0.8400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3485 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SASK?
Our models span a range for Atha Energy Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.2635, base C$0.3485, optimistic C$0.5270 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price C$0.8400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atha Energy Corp. (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −8.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SASK from its 52-week high?
Atha Energy Corp. trades at C$0.8400, about 40% below its 52-week high of C$1.40 and 50% above the low of C$0.5600 (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3485 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atha Energy Corp.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, China National Uranium Co, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atha Energy Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price C$0.8400, calculated fair value C$0.3485 (−59%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SASK calculated?
We run Atha Energy Corp. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.3485, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Atha Energy Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was C$0.8400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.3485, about 59% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atha Energy Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.5270). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.2635 to C$0.5270) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Atha Energy Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
The market capitalisation of Atha Energy Corp. is C$304M (≈ $218M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
Earnings per share at Atha Energy Corp. are C$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atha Energy Corp. is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atha Energy Corp. (SASK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atha Energy Corp. is −99.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Atha Energy Corp. (SASK) generate?
The free cash flow of Atha Energy Corp. is −C$25.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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