Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock $0.07, price $0.15, that is 54.7% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp does not have significant operations. It focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses in any business or industry.
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The company was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Mountainside, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) currently trades at $0.1501, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0680, 55% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $0.0900 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $0.1501 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0450, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0425 (bear) to $0.0935 (bull), the price of $0.1501 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $5.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $216M · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.2% (4-year average) · EPS growth (YoY) −65.9% · Free cash flow −$438K · Net cash $856K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −55%, TVACW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.0425Fair Value $0.0680Bull$0.0935
Price $0.1501 · Downside -54.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/E Multiple$0.0400$0.0500$0.070062
Residual Income$0.0900$0.0900$0.100061
Graham-Dodd$0.0300$0.0700$0.100051
All 4 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.0300$0.0700$0.100051
Lynch FV$0.0100$0.0200$0.030046
Multiples
P/E Multiple$0.0400$0.0500$0.070062
Economic Profit
Residual Income$0.0900$0.0900$0.100061
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
Compare Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Shell Companies · 30 stocks
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Is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0680 versus a price of $0.1501, about 55% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TVACW?
Our model-based fair value for Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is $0.0680 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1501.
What is the quality score of TVACW?
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0680 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0425, optimistic scenario $0.0935. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0680, about 55% lower versus a price of $0.1501 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0425, optimistic scenario $0.0935. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation it is $0.0680 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $0.1501. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models in 3 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit).
Is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, TVACW trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1501, fair value $0.0680, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TVACW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1501); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0680). For Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation the two are $0.0821 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation worth?
The market values Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation at about $216M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $0.1501; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0680 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TVACW?
Our models span a range for Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation: cautious scenario $0.0425, base $0.0680, optimistic $0.0935 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $0.1501). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TVACW from its 52-week high?
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation trades at $0.1501, about 91% below its 52-week high of $1.58 and at the low of $0.1501 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0680 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation?
From the same area (Financials) we also value Vylor Inc, Lionheart III Corp, AA Mission Acquisition Corp, Berto Acquisition Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $0.1501, calculated fair value $0.0680 (−55%), Quality Score 48/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TVACW calculated?
We run Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation through 4 models from 3 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.0680 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $0.1501. Our model-based fair value is $0.0680, about 55% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0935). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0425 to $0.0935) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
The market capitalisation of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is $216M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is −5.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
Earnings per share at Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation are growing −65.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) generate?
The free cash flow of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is −$438K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) hold?
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation holds more cash than debt, $856K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
