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VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of VRX Silica Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.03, that is 18.4% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000VRX5

VS VRX Silica Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

VRX Silica Ltd

VRX · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 18% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 41/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.8 %/yr in AUD)
Mixed vs. peers (3/6)
Revenue last quarter 77% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0261 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2350 A$0.0270 Fair Value A$0.0261 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0270 – A$0.2350 · fair‑value band A$0.0248 – A$0.0274 · the A$0.0320 price screens above the A$0.0261 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

VRX Silica Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for silica.

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It owns 100% interests in the Arrowsmith and the Muchea silica sand projects located to the north of Perth in Western Australia; and the Boyatup silica sand project located to the east of the port town of Esperance.

The company was formerly known as Ventnor Resources Limited and changed its name to VRX Silica Limited in December 2018. VRX Silica Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) currently trades at A$0.0320, while our estimate is A$0.0261, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0248 (bear) to A$0.0274 (bull), the price of A$0.0320 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

VRX Silica Ltd reported revenue of A$102K in FY2025 versus A$1.4M in FY2021, a compound −47.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$31.5M (≈ $21.7M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −20.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −10,531% · Revenue (TTM) A$65.9K · Revenue growth (YoY) −76.9% · Free cash flow −A$3.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −18%, VRX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0248 Fair Value A$0.0261 Bull A$0.0274
Price A$0.0320 · Downside -18.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 30
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 91
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 80
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 14
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 5
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3,304.7% (2020) → −1,158.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

VRX screens overvalued: fair value 18% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −76.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)9 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs VRX
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs VRX
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs VRX
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs VRX
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs VRX
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs VRX
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs VRX
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs VRX
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs VRX
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs VRX

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VRX Silica Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VRX Silica Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VRX

Frequently asked questions

Is VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0261 versus a price of A$0.0320, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VRX?
Our estimate for VRX Silica Ltd is A$0.0261 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0320.
What is the quality score of VRX?
VRX Silica Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0261 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0248, optimistic scenario A$0.0274. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the VRX Silica Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0261, about 18% lower versus a price of A$0.0320 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0248, optimistic scenario A$0.0274. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
VRX Silica Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$65.9K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VRX Silica Ltd it is A$0.0261 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0320.
Is VRX Silica Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, VRX trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0320, fair value A$0.0261, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VRX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0320); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0261). For VRX Silica Ltd the two are A$0.0059 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VRX Silica Ltd worth?
The market values VRX Silica Ltd at about A$31.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0320; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0261 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VRX?
Our models span a range for VRX Silica Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0248, base A$0.0261, optimistic A$0.0274 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0320). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Balance-sheet figures for VRX Silica Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −20.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VRX from its 52-week high?
VRX Silica Ltd trades at A$0.0320, about 65% below its 52-week high of A$0.0910 and 14% above the low of A$0.0280 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0261 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VRX Silica Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VRX Silica Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0320, calculated fair value A$0.0261 (−18%), Quality Score 41/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. VRX Silica Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0320. Our estimate is A$0.0261, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VRX Silica Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0274). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0248 to A$0.0274), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of VRX Silica Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The market capitalisation of VRX Silica Ltd is A$31.5M (≈ $21.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Earnings per share at VRX Silica Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VRX Silica Ltd is −20.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VRX Silica Ltd is −15.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The operating margin of VRX Silica Ltd is −10,531% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Revenue at VRX Silica Ltd is growing −76.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) generate?
The free cash flow of VRX Silica Ltd is −A$3.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) hold?
VRX Silica Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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