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VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what VRX Silica Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000VRX5

VS Thin data Sep 13, 2026

VRX Silica Ltd

VRX · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0394 · Fairly valued (+1%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (4/6)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2700 A$0.0270 Fair Value A$0.0394 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0270 – A$0.2700 · fair‑value band A$0.0297 – A$0.0491 · the A$0.0390 price screens below the A$0.0394 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

VRX Silica Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for silica.

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VRX Silica Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for silica. It owns 100% interests in the Arrowsmith and the Muchea silica sand projects located to the north of Perth in Western Australia; and the Boyatup silica sand project located to the east of the port town of Esperance. The company was formerly known as Ventnor Resources Limited and changed its name to VRX Silica Limited in December 2018. VRX Silica Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) currently trades at A$0.0390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0394, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0297 (bear) to A$0.0491 (bull), the price of A$0.0390 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

VRX Silica Ltd reported revenue of A$102K in FY2025 versus A$1.4M in FY2021, a compound −47.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$39.4M (≈ $27.6M) · Return on equity −16.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.7% · Operating margin −4,843% · Revenue (TTM) A$130K · Revenue growth (YoY) +144% · Free cash flow −A$2.9M · Net cash A$3.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 1%, VRX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0297 Fair Value A$0.0394 Bull A$0.0491
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3,304.7% (2020) → −1,158.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare VRX Silica Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Above median
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 144% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.38× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)35 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Boliden AB BOL kr 539.40 kr 464.47 −14%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VRX Silica Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VRX

Frequently asked questions

Is VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0394 versus a price of A$0.0390, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VRX?
Our model-based fair value for VRX Silica Ltd is A$0.0394 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0390.
What is the quality score of VRX?
VRX Silica Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0394 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0297, optimistic scenario A$0.0491. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VRX Silica Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0394, about +1% upside versus a price of A$0.0390 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0297, optimistic scenario A$0.0491. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
VRX Silica Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$130K (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VRX Silica Ltd it is A$0.0394 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0390. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VRX Silica Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, VRX trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0390, fair value A$0.0394, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VRX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0390); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0394). For VRX Silica Ltd the two are A$0.0004 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VRX Silica Ltd worth?
The market values VRX Silica Ltd at about A$39.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0390; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0394 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VRX?
Our models span a range for VRX Silica Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0297, base A$0.0394, optimistic A$0.0491 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0390). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Balance-sheet figures for VRX Silica Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −16.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VRX from its 52-week high?
VRX Silica Ltd trades at A$0.0390, about 68% below its 52-week high of A$0.1200 and 11% above the low of A$0.0350 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0394 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VRX Silica Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VRX Silica Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0390, calculated fair value A$0.0394 (+1%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VRX calculated?
We run VRX Silica Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0394, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. VRX Silica Ltd currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0390. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0394, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VRX Silica Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of VRX Silica Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The market capitalisation of VRX Silica Ltd is A$39.4M (≈ $27.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VRX Silica Ltd is −16.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VRX Silica Ltd is −10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
The operating margin of VRX Silica Ltd is −4,843% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VRX Silica Ltd (VRX)?
Revenue at VRX Silica Ltd is growing +144% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) generate?
The free cash flow of VRX Silica Ltd is −A$2.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does VRX Silica Ltd (VRX) hold?
VRX Silica Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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