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Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co (000006) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 10.6B CNY

SZ Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co 000006 · SHE
Price¥6.73
Fair Value¥3.23
Upside-52.0%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.09 – ¥4.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.09 to ¥4.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.15 ¥3.40 Fair Value ¥3.23 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.40 – ¥14.15 · fair‑value band ¥2.09 – ¥4.71 · the ¥6.73 price screens above the ¥3.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co (000006) currently trades at ¥6.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.23, implying the stock looks roughly 52.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 67.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at 969M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.09 (bear case) to ¥4.71 (bull case); at ¥6.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -52%, 000006 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.81 ¥2.52 ¥3.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.09 ¥3.22 ¥4.54 74
Gordon GGM ¥1.04 ¥2.16 ¥3.42 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.79 ¥2.60 ¥3.85 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.09 ¥3.24 ¥4.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.82 ¥4.61 ¥6.73 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.91 ¥2.93 ¥4.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.43 ¥3.89 ¥5.89 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.04 ¥2.16 ¥3.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.04 ¥1.75 ¥2.26 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥3.92 ¥5.10 ¥6.28 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.72 ¥4.83 ¥5.94 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.34 ¥3.17 ¥4.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.99 ¥2.66 ¥3.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.81 ¥2.52 ¥3.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.09 ¥3.22 ¥4.54 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.83) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -67.5%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity 0.1%
Free cash flow 165M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 15.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -88.5%
Net debt 969M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, management, and rental of real estate properties in China. The company develops residential and commercial properties, as well as engages in the urban village redevelopment, commercial operation, corporate apartments, construction management, and urban services. Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co.,Ltd.

Full company description

Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, management, and rental of real estate properties in China. The company develops residential and commercial properties, as well as engages in the urban village redevelopment, commercial operation, corporate apartments, construction management, and urban services. Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥2.6B in FY2025 versus ¥3.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥42.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−56.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (35Y)
+13.4%
Revenue −4.0%/yr
FY21 ¥3.1B
FY22 ¥3.7B
FY23 ¥2.8B
FY24 ¥6.1B
FY25 ¥2.6B
Net income
FY21 ¥542M
FY22 ¥420M
FY23 −¥803M
FY24 −¥1.6B
FY25 −¥42.3M

000006 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000006

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth -68% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.29× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 81 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co (000006) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.23 versus a price of ¥6.73, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000006?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co is ¥3.23 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.73.
What is the quality score of 000006?
Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co (000006)?
Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000006?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) Co is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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