Hongkong Land Holdings (H78) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SG · Market cap $15.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +17.1% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.74 – $8.70 · fair‑value band $1.51 – $2.31 · the $8.34 price screens above the $1.51 fair value. As of Jul 4, 2026.
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Hongkong Land Holdings (H78) currently trades at $8.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.51, implying the stock looks roughly 81.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hongkong Land Holdings generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 87.2%. Revenue declined 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at $3.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.51 (bear case) to $2.31 (bull case); at $8.34, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at -82%, H78 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hongkong Land Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, and management of properties in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Prime Properties Investment and Build-to-Sell.
Full company description
Hongkong Land Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, and management of properties in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Prime Properties Investment and Build-to-Sell. The company owns and manages mixed-use real estate, including offices, luxury retail, residential, and hospitality products in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Shanghai. It is also involved in hotel investment, finance, and project management businesses. The company was founded in 1889 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda. Hongkong Land Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Jardine Strategic Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hongkong Land Holdings reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $2.4B in FY2021, a compound −11.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 4, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 146,800 VND | 148,549 VND | +1% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹563.20 | ₹215.17 | -62% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹926.65 | ₹774.29 | -16% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,650 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -80% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,633 | ₹1,368 | -16% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹1,708 | ₹2,070 | +21% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 2,454 IDR | +127% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,363 IDR | +129% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 152.22 IDR | +138% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 575.00 IDR | 1,438 IDR | +150% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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