Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co (000021) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 74.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −26.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.43 – ¥64.27 · fair‑value band ¥10.82 – ¥18.03 · the ¥39.91 price screens above the ¥14.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co (000021) currently trades at ¥39.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.43, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co generated revenue of 16.1B CNY at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 211M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.82 (bear case) to ¥18.03 (bull case); at ¥39.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -64%, 000021 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.54) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co., Ltd. provides electronics manufacturing services worldwide. The company offers hard disk components manufacturing services, including magnetic heads, hard disk PCBA, and aluminum substrates, as well as metering systems comprising electric, water, and gas meter systems.
Full company description
Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co., Ltd. provides electronics manufacturing services worldwide. The company offers hard disk components manufacturing services, including magnetic heads, hard disk PCBA, and aluminum substrates, as well as metering systems comprising electric, water, and gas meter systems. It also provides research and development, manufacturing, and logistics transportation services for medical devices, such as medical instruments, portable medical diagnostic products, disposable medical consumables, and medical product PCBA, as well as material procurement, manufacturing, testing, assembly, logistics, and after-sales services for smart devices, such as electric scooters, printers, and E-ink tablets. In addition, the company offers commercial and industrial services for industrial control, IoT intelligent hardware, and new energy products, as well as battery management systems and body electronic control module automotive electronics solutions. Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Kaifa Technology Co reported revenue of ¥15.7B in FY2025 versus ¥16.5B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.
000021 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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