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Shenzhen Airport Co (000089) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.4B CNY

SA Shenzhen Airport Co 000089 · SHE
Price¥6.49
Fair Value¥5.38
Upside-17.1%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.45% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.03 – ¥6.72 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥4.03 (bear) to ¥6.72 (bull), base ¥5.38. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.63 ¥5.81 Fair Value ¥5.38 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.81 – ¥8.63 · fair‑value band ¥4.03 – ¥6.72 · the ¥6.49 price screens above the ¥5.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Airport Co (000089) currently trades at ¥6.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.38, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Airport Co generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 126M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.03 (bear case) to ¥6.72 (bull case); at ¥6.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -17%, 000089 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.97 ¥13.21 ¥21.68 80
Residual Income ¥4.29 ¥4.29 ¥3.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.65 ¥7.08 ¥10.08 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.94 ¥13.38 ¥22.26 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.52 ¥11.01 ¥18.32 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.65 ¥7.02 ¥10.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.07 ¥13.76 ¥20.62 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.04 ¥7.80 ¥10.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.62 ¥8.16 ¥11.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.95 ¥12.97 ¥20.10 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.98 ¥8.72 ¥12.21 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.74 ¥6.77 ¥9.18 54
Lynch FV ¥1.66 ¥2.37 ¥3.08 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.66 ¥2.37 ¥3.08 46
EPV ¥3.16 ¥3.70 ¥4.17 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.03 ¥5.38 ¥6.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.27 ¥4.35 ¥5.44 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.27 ¥4.35 ¥5.44 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.11 ¥6.83 ¥8.56 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.99 ¥12.01 ¥15.02 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.09 ¥4.44 ¥5.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.84 ¥3.80 ¥5.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.97 ¥13.21 ¥21.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.65 ¥7.08 ¥10.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.29 ¥4.29 ¥3.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.16 ¥3.70 ¥4.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.98 ¥4.26 ¥5.53 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.72) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net margin 11.9%
Return on equity 5.3%
Free cash flow 1.4B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin 19.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3000
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +58.6%
Net debt 126M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Airport Co., Ltd. operates and manages Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport in China. The company engages in aviation ground support and ground handling services, including takeoff and landing and parking support, maintenance and operation management of airport flight control areas, passenger boarding, waiting and arrival/departure services, …

Full company description

Shenzhen Airport Co., Ltd. operates and manages Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport in China. The company engages in aviation ground support and ground handling services, including takeoff and landing and parking support, maintenance and operation management of airport flight control areas, passenger boarding, waiting and arrival/departure services, aircraft maintenance and auxiliary services, and ground handling services for air cargo. It is also involved in air logistics, commercial leasing, and advertising activities; and provision of value-added logistics services, such as air cargo transit, air logistics park leasing and management, and air freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Shenzhen, China. Shenzhen Airport Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shenzhen Airport (Group) Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Airport Co reported revenue of ¥5.1B in FY2025 versus ¥3.3B in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥525M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+12.1%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 ¥3.3B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥4.2B
FY24 ¥4.7B
FY25 ¥5.1B
Net income
FY21 −¥34.4M
FY22 −¥1.1B
FY23 ¥397M
FY24 ¥443M
FY25 ¥525M

000089 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Airport Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000089

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.56× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.90× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 36
FUTURE 36 · sector 31
PAST 21 · sector 45
HEALTH 85 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.44 SGD 1.25 SGD -49%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $220.91 $246.06 +11%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 237.20 CHF 121.30 -49%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥24.08 ¥17.09 -29%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.82 SGD 4.03 SGD -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Airport Co (000089) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.38 versus a price of ¥6.49, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000089?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Airport Co is ¥5.38 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.49.
What is the quality score of 000089?
Shenzhen Airport Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Airport Co (000089)?
Shenzhen Airport Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000089?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Airport Co is about 11.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Airport Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Airport Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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