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Shenzhen Tagen Group (000090) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.8B CNY

ST Shenzhen Tagen Group 000090 · SHE
Price¥3.37
Fair Value¥5.92
Upside+75.8%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.00% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.45 – ¥7.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +10.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥4.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.64 ¥3.01 Fair Value ¥5.92 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.01 – ¥6.64 · fair‑value band ¥4.45 – ¥7.41 · the ¥3.37 price screens below the ¥5.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Tagen Group (000090) currently trades at ¥3.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.92, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Tagen Group generated revenue of 23.3B CNY at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 27.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.3%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.45 (bear case) to ¥7.41 (bull case); at ¥3.37, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 76%, 000090 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.84 ¥11.07 ¥19.79 80
Residual Income ¥5.84 ¥5.87 ¥5.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.59 ¥8.65 ¥14.10 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.97 ¥11.94 ¥22.45 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.16 ¥10.43 ¥19.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.59 ¥8.76 ¥14.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.91 ¥11.59 ¥18.89 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.64 ¥8.87 ¥13.80 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.83 ¥8.97 ¥15.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.87 ¥11.05 ¥19.24 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.03 ¥9.05 ¥14.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.26 ¥11.82 ¥16.36 54
Lynch FV ¥3.24 ¥4.63 ¥6.02 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.24 ¥4.63 ¥6.02 46
EPV ¥2.03 ¥2.49 ¥2.88 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.46 ¥10.88 ¥16.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.46 ¥9.40 ¥11.49 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.23 ¥6.97 ¥8.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.23 ¥5.65 ¥7.06 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.23 ¥5.65 ¥7.06 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.86 ¥8.11 ¥10.35 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.38 ¥8.79 ¥11.21 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.93 ¥5.99 ¥8.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.90 ¥5.23 ¥7.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.84 ¥11.07 ¥19.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.59 ¥8.65 ¥14.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.84 ¥5.87 ¥5.37 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.03 ¥2.49 ¥2.88 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.83 ¥6.90 ¥8.98 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥9.40) versus Economic Profit (¥2.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 23.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.9%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity -0.3%
Free cash flow 995M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 90.8
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0400
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -99.1%
Net debt 2.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Tagen Group Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the urban construction, comprehensive development, and urban service businesses in China.

Full company description

Shenzhen Tagen Group Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the urban construction, comprehensive development, and urban service businesses in China. The company's urban construction business includes municipal roads, municipal pipe networks, bridges and tunnels, and other urban infrastructure; water environment, landscaping, street lights, highways, and other projects; industrial and civil construction projects, earthwork, foundation and foundation engineering, and other construction projects; and rail transit projects and other fields. It also develops real estate projects, including mid-to-high-end residences, affordable housing, office buildings, hotels, urban complexes, industrial parks, etc. In addition, the company provides engineering construction, property management and leasing, and commercial operations and services; and urban infrastructure management and maintenance services, first-level land preparation services, commercial operation services, property services, etc. Further, it is involved in the engineering general contracting (EPC), construction general contracting, and other models; project management services, cultural venues management services, etc.; and civil engineering construction. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Tonge (Group) Co., Ltd. Shenzhen Tagen Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Tagen Group reported revenue of ¥21.4B in FY2024 versus ¥17.1B in FY2020, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥621M in FY2024, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
21.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+14.4%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY20 ¥17.1B
FY21 ¥23.3B
FY22 ¥26.5B
FY23 ¥27.0B
FY24 ¥21.4B
Net income −19.6%/yr
FY20 ¥1.5B
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.0B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥621M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Tagen Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000090

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 90.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 60 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Tagen Group (000090) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.92 versus a price of ¥3.37, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000090?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Tagen Group is ¥5.92 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.37.
What is the quality score of 000090?
Shenzhen Tagen Group has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Tagen Group (000090)?
Shenzhen Tagen Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000090?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Tagen Group is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Tagen Group pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Tagen Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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