Shenwan Hongyuan Group (000166) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 116B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −0.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 53% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.20). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.68 – ¥6.18 · fair‑value band ¥5.20 – ¥8.67 · the ¥4.54 price screens below the ¥6.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Shenwan Hongyuan Group (000166) currently trades at ¥4.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.93, implying the stock looks roughly 52.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenwan Hongyuan Group generated revenue of 26.3B CNY at a net margin of 37.6%. Revenue grew 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 336B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.20 (bear case) to ¥8.67 (bull case); at ¥4.54, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 53%, 000166 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.71) versus Growth DCF (¥0.7600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides various financial products and services to corporate, professional institutional, individuals, and non-professional institutional customers. It operates through four segments: Enterprise Finance, Personal Finance, Institutional Services and Trading, and Investment Management.
Full company description
Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides various financial products and services to corporate, professional institutional, individuals, and non-professional institutional customers. It operates through four segments: Enterprise Finance, Personal Finance, Institutional Services and Trading, and Investment Management. The Enterprise Finance segment offers equity underwriting and sponsorship, debt underwriting and financial advisory, and debt and other investment services. The Personal Finance segment provides securities and futures brokerage, margin financing and securities lending, stock-backed lending, agreed repurchase securities trading, and investment advisory services, as well as sells financial products. The Institutional Services and Trading segment offers prime brokerage, proprietary trading, and research and consultation services; and engages in trading of fixed income, currencies, commodities, equity, and equity-linked securities, as well as trading, hedging, sale, and OTC derivatives services to institutional clients. The Investment Management segment provides asset management, mutual fund management, and private equity fund management services. The company also involved in securities underwriting and sponsoring, wealth management, risk management, venture capital, investment research, and corporate financing services. The company was formerly known as Shenyin Wanguo Securities Co., Ltd and changed its name to Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. in January 2015. Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is based in Urumqi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenwan Hongyuan Group reported revenue of ¥38.6B in FY2025 versus ¥43.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.5B in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 424 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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