Data-driven stock valuation

CLP Holdings (0002) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what CLP Holdings is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

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Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$185B (≈ $23.6B) · ISIN HK0002007356

At a glance

CH CLP Holdings 0002 · HK

PriceHK$77.25

Fair ValueHK$42.12

Upside−45.5%

Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 83% above our fair value of HK$42.12.

As of Aug 18, 2026, the fair value of CLP Holdings is HK$42.12 per share against a price of HK$77.25, so the fair value sits 45% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.0 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 12.1% net margin

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

·4.08% dividend yield

!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)

!Moderate moat 52/100

Evidence: High Range HK$37.98 to HK$70.74

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

This is the short version. In the app for CLP Holdings:

26 models, one by oneBear HK$37.98 to bull HK$70.74 5-year chart + forecastprice, fair value, trend, scenarios Quality 53/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

Watch CLP Holdings for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$70.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range (HK$37.98 to HK$70.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$43.02 – HK$79.80 · fair‑value band HK$37.98 – HK$70.74 · the HK$77.25 price screens above the HK$42.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CLP Holdings (0002) currently trades at HK$77.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$42.12, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$71.78 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$77.25 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$23.95, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, CLP Holdings generated revenue of HK$88.0B at a net margin of 12.1%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at HK$62.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Scenario range: HK$37.98 (bear) to HK$70.74 (bull), the price of HK$77.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −45%, 0002 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$11.72 HK$23.19 HK$43.07 76

Residual Income HK$37.64 HK$41.62 HK$57.70 76

Growth DCF HK$12.87 HK$23.95 HK$41.89 75

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$11.72 HK$23.19 HK$43.07 76

Owner Earnings n/a HK$1.05 HK$10.52 73

5Y Revenue Exit HK$20.34 HK$41.11 HK$69.80 70

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$29.55 HK$56.93 HK$91.20 73

5Y P/E Exit HK$23.35 HK$46.28 HK$71.98 69

10Y Revenue Exit HK$15.44 HK$33.17 HK$54.08 64

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$22.45 HK$43.68 HK$68.54 66

10Y P/E Exit HK$18.62 HK$36.61 HK$55.55 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$28.71 HK$52.43 HK$64.84 66

EPV HK$21.16 HK$27.87 HK$33.74 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$28.92 HK$38.29 HK$47.80 69

DDM Multi-Stage HK$28.92 HK$39.68 HK$52.55 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$57.00 HK$76.00 HK$95.00 63

P/S Multiple HK$53.83 HK$71.78 HK$89.72 58

P/B Multiple HK$53.83 HK$71.78 HK$89.72 55

EV/EBIT HK$40.28 HK$60.07 HK$79.85 65

EV/EBITDA HK$49.34 HK$72.15 HK$94.95 67

EV/Revenue HK$28.93 HK$49.51 HK$70.09 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$21.30 HK$28.54 HK$42.59 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$12.87 HK$23.95 HK$41.89 75

Rev-Margin DCF HK$20.34 HK$41.52 HK$66.30 70

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$37.64 HK$41.62 HK$57.70 76

ROIC Compounder HK$21.16 HK$27.87 HK$33.74 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$40.67 HK$58.09 HK$75.52 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$71.78) versus Growth DCF (HK$23.95). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.7 as of Jul 1, 2026

P/S ratio 2.14 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$2.23 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.7

Dividend yield 4.1% payout 141%

Net margin 12.1% FY2025

Return on equity 10.2% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% avg 5y

Operating margin 14.8% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$88.0B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) −3.7% 3y avg −4.4%

EPS growth (YoY) −16.4%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$7.6B FY2025

Net debt HK$62.8B FY2025 · ≈ 8.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 33

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 27

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 60

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 46

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 68

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 98

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 54

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 79

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

CLP Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the generation, retail, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Hong Kong, Mainland China, India, Thailand, Taiwan, and Australia. The company generates electricity through coal, gas, nuclear, and renewable resources, such as wind, hydro, and solar. It is also involved in the provision of pumped storage services, energy and infrastructure solutions, and property investment activities, as well as retail of electricity and gas. CLP Holdings Limited was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CLP Holdings reported revenue of HK$88.0B in FY2025 versus HK$84.0B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.7B in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100

Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$88.0B

Latest YoY

−3.2%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

−4.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+2.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+5.3%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

≈ +8.4%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+4.3%

Dividend yield4.1%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 4.3% vs 10Y −1.9%, picking up

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18.5% (2020) → 15.1% (2025) · falling

Worst earnings drop91% (2022) · in HKD

⚠ Final year 2025 sits 57% above trend (one-off), rate approximate

Revenue +1.2%/yr

FY21 HK$84.0B

FY22 HK$101B

FY23 HK$87.2B

FY24 HK$91.0B

FY25 HK$88.0B

Net income +5.4%/yr

FY21 HK$8.6B

FY22 HK$1.1B

FY23 HK$6.8B

FY24 HK$11.9B

FY25 HK$10.7B

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.5 % p.a.

Revenue per share +0.6 %

of which total revenue +0.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −2.1 %

Tax rate −0.9 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

0002 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators

DCF Calculator Graham Number Peter Lynch Formula DDM Calculator Fama-French Model Intrinsic Value

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CLP Holdings · Fair Value
HK$42.12 −83%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0002" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">CLP Holdings · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$42.12</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−83%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CLP Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0002

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation

Quality Score 53 · Above median

Fair Value upside −46% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median

Return on assets 4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −4% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.49× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.7× · Cheaper than median

P/B 1.72× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 2.10× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 3.1× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

PEG 5.59× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must CLP Holdings deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+12.3 % per year

Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+2.0 % p.a.

Sector median revenue growth+0.7 %

FCF yield on price3.91 %

Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.7 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 1

FUTURE0 · sector 32

PAST41 · sector 38

HEALTH76 · sector 53

DIVIDEND82 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE	$83.43	$32.94	−61%
The Southern Company SO	$88.11	$58.81	−33%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK	$120.22	$74.89	−38%
National Grid plc NGG	$80.68	$63.94	−21%
American Electric Power Company AEP	$122.96	$77.23	−37%
Dominion Energy, Inc D	$66.01	$46.34	−30%
Entergy Corporation ETR	$107.27	$52.92	−51%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL	$76.34	$44.61	−42%
Exelon Corporation EXC	$43.64	$37.60	−14%
Endesa, S.A ELE	€41.43	€25.72	−38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CLP Holdings (0002) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$42.12 versus a price of HK$77.25, about −45% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 0002?

Our model-based fair value for CLP Holdings is HK$42.12 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$77.25.

What is the quality score of 0002?

CLP Holdings has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for CLP Holdings (0002)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$42.12 (as of Aug 18, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$37.98, optimistic scenario HK$70.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the CLP Holdings stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$42.12, about −45% upside versus a price of HK$77.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$37.98, optimistic scenario HK$70.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of CLP Holdings (0002)?

CLP Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$88.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0002?

The net profit margin of CLP Holdings is about 12.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does CLP Holdings pay a dividend?

CLP Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).

What growth is priced into CLP Holdings (0002)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CLP Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by +12.3 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.7 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.0 % per year. As of Aug 18, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0002 use?

Our models discount CLP Holdings at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is the intrinsic value of CLP Holdings (0002)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CLP Holdings it is HK$42.12 per share (as of Aug 18, 2026), against a price of HK$77.25. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is CLP Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Aug 18, 2026, 0002 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$77.25, fair value HK$42.12, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0002?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$77.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$42.12). For CLP Holdings the two are HK$35.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is CLP Holdings worth?

The market values CLP Holdings at about HK$185B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 18, 2026). Per share that is HK$77.25; our models calculate a fair value of HK$42.12 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0002?

Our models span a range for CLP Holdings: cautious scenario HK$37.98, base HK$42.12, optimistic HK$70.74 per share (as of Aug 18, 2026, price HK$77.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 0002?

CLP Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.7 (as of Aug 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$42.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.6, P/B 1.7, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 10.1.

What is the PEG ratio of 0002?

The PEG ratio of CLP Holdings is 5.59 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of CLP Holdings (0002)?

Balance-sheet figures for CLP Holdings (as of Aug 18, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0002 from its 52-week high?

CLP Holdings trades at HK$77.25, about 0% below its 52-week high of HK$76.95 and 25% above the low of HK$61.77 (as of Aug 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$42.12 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to CLP Holdings?

From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, National Grid plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is CLP Holdings stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Aug 18, 2026: price HK$77.25, calculated fair value HK$42.12 (−45%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0002 calculated?

We run CLP Holdings through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$42.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

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