Shandong Shengli Co (000407) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• Our model range runs from ¥2.79 (bear) to ¥4.65 (bull), base ¥3.72. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.45 – ¥6.68 · fair‑value band ¥2.79 – ¥4.65 · the ¥4.04 price screens above the ¥3.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Shengli Co (000407) currently trades at ¥4.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.72, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Shengli Co generated revenue of 4.0B CNY at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.79 (bear case) to ¥4.65 (bull case); at ¥4.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -8%, 000407 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥5.68) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.7700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. engages in the natural gas, plastic pipes, and other industrial businesses in China. The company invests in, constructs, and operates gas transmission and distribution pipelines, urban natural gas networks, liquefied natural gas (LNG), compressed natural gas (CNG), and natural gas distributed energy.

Full company description

Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. engages in the natural gas, plastic pipes, and other industrial businesses in China. The company invests in, constructs, and operates gas transmission and distribution pipelines, urban natural gas networks, liquefied natural gas (LNG), compressed natural gas (CNG), and natural gas distributed energy. It also provides natural gas application services for industry, commerce, residents, and other fields; natural gas supply for vehicles using natural gas in the fields of transportation; and urban transportation services, as well as solutions in the field of natural gas and value-added services. In addition, the company is involved in natural gas midstream and upstream business; natural gas distribution and transportation business; and natural gas energy distribution and smart gas systems business. Further, it produces polyethylene pipes, which are used in water supply and drainage, gas, industrial pipe networks, fire protection, marine equipment, dredging, lining repair, thermal power, and other fields. Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Shengli Co reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2025 versus ¥4.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥156M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.