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Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group (000526) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY

XX Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group 000526 · SHE
Price¥35.30
Fair Value¥35.22
Upside-0.2%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range ¥26.42 – ¥77.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +32.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥26.42 to ¥77.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥67.26 ¥13.33 Fair Value ¥35.22 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.33 – ¥67.26 · fair‑value band ¥26.42 – ¥77.39 · the ¥35.30 price screens above the ¥35.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group (000526) currently trades at ¥35.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.22, implying the stock looks roughly 0.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 56.9M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥26.42 (bear case) to ¥77.39 (bull case); at ¥35.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 0%, 000526 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥81.30 ¥147.74 ¥254.78 80
Residual Income ¥10.48 ¥14.58 ¥74.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥51.46 ¥78.71 ¥136.30 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥86.07 ¥128.33 ¥260.09 38
Owner Earnings ¥49.06 ¥99.30 ¥200.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥47.74 ¥69.68 ¥115.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥63.37 ¥101.28 ¥175.44 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥49.64 ¥88.43 ¥139.09 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥58.93 ¥103.14 ¥126.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥71.05 ¥136.02 ¥245.29 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥61.26 ¥107.15 ¥177.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.89 ¥75.92 ¥106.55 54
Lynch FV ¥39.22 ¥56.03 ¥72.84 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥39.22 ¥56.03 ¥72.84 46
EPV ¥27.44 ¥30.55 ¥33.23 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.98 ¥3.94 ¥5.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.98 ¥3.40 ¥4.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥26.42 ¥35.22 ¥44.03 63
P/S Multiple ¥20.41 ¥27.22 ¥34.02 58
P/B Multiple ¥20.41 ¥27.22 ¥34.02 55
EV/EBIT ¥43.93 ¥55.99 ¥68.05 53
EV/EBITDA ¥52.75 ¥67.75 ¥82.75 54
EV/Revenue ¥30.00 ¥39.53 ¥49.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.89 ¥5.21 ¥7.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥81.30 ¥147.74 ¥254.78 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥51.46 ¥78.71 ¥136.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.48 ¥14.58 ¥74.95 76
ROIC Compounder ¥27.47 ¥30.62 ¥33.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥52.07 ¥74.38 ¥96.70 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥101.28) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.1%
Net margin 6.4%
Return on equity 22.3%
Free cash flow 600M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 12.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.78
EPS growth (YoY) +53.9%
Net cash 56.9M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. provides education and training services in China. It provides secondary vocational education, higher vocational education, integration of industry and education, vocational skills training, industrial colleges, internships, learning ability improvement, academic planning, comprehensive quality evaluation, …

Full company description

Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. provides education and training services in China. It provides secondary vocational education, higher vocational education, integration of industry and education, vocational skills training, industrial colleges, internships, learning ability improvement, academic planning, comprehensive quality evaluation, language training, and other training services. The company also offers PPTS business management system, BI business analysis and other systems, and intelligent teaching service system. In addition, it is involved in the trade, equipment leasing, and technical services, as well as real estate leases. The company was formerly known as Xiamen Unigroup Xue Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. in April 2021. Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥195M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+14.5%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥2.8B
FY25 ¥3.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥536M
FY22 ¥13.5M
FY23 ¥154M
FY24 ¥180M
FY25 ¥195M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000526

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −0% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 37
FUTURE 51 · sector 24
PAST 89 · sector 18
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Insider activity: 48/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group (000526) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥35.22 versus a price of ¥35.30, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 000526?
Our model-based fair value for Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group is ¥35.22 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥35.30.
What is the quality score of 000526?
Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group (000526)?
Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000526?
The net profit margin of Xueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group is about 6.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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