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ADAMA Ltd (000553) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY

AL ADAMA Ltd 000553 · SHE
Price¥5.43
Fair Value¥8.69
Upside+60.0%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.94 – ¥12.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from ¥6.10 to ¥8.69 (+42.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.94 to ¥12.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.08 ¥4.16 Fair Value ¥8.69 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.16 – ¥13.08 · fair‑value band ¥4.94 – ¥12.43 · the ¥5.43 price screens below the ¥8.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

ADAMA Ltd (000553) currently trades at ¥5.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.69, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ADAMA Ltd generated revenue of 29.0B CNY at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.4%. Net debt stands at 9.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.94 (bear case) to ¥12.43 (bull case); at ¥5.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 60%, 000553 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥17.49 ¥36.99 ¥72.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.34 ¥17.22 ¥28.57 74
ROIC Compounder ¥2.39 ¥3.02 ¥3.56 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥18.21 ¥33.13 ¥73.16 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.34 ¥16.90 ¥28.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.16 ¥25.39 ¥43.68 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.71 ¥20.99 ¥33.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.62 ¥27.85 ¥50.37 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.39 ¥3.02 ¥3.56 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.91 ¥8.12 ¥12.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.91 ¥6.85 ¥8.52 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥6.53 ¥9.16 ¥11.79 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.53 ¥15.82 ¥20.11 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.48 ¥8.41 ¥11.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.04 ¥5.41 ¥8.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥17.49 ¥36.99 ¥72.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.34 ¥17.22 ¥28.57 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.39 ¥3.02 ¥3.56 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥25.39) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 29.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.5%
Net margin -2.2%
Return on equity -3.4%
Free cash flow 2.8B CNY FY2025
Operating margin 8.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2700
EPS growth (YoY) +277%
Net debt 9.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ADAMA Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and commercializes crop protection products in Israel and internationally. The company operates through Crop Protection (Agro), and Intermediates and Ingredients segments.

Full company description

ADAMA Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and commercializes crop protection products in Israel and internationally. The company operates through Crop Protection (Agro), and Intermediates and Ingredients segments. It provides herbicides, fungicides, and insecticides to protect agricultural crops from weeds, diseases, and insects; and other crop-protection products, such as miticides and nematicides, and intermediates to produce active ingredients for crop protection, as well as seed treatment products. The company also offers intermediate materials and ingredients, such as food additives; synthetic aromatic products; Lycopan, an oxidization retardant; dietary supplements; food colors; texture and flavor enhancers; and food fortification ingredients. In addition, it provides fragrance products for perfume, cosmetics, body care, and detergent industries; industrial products; and consumer and professional solutions. It primarily operates in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, North America, Brazil, India, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as Hubei Sanonda Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ADAMA Ltd. in December 2018. ADAMA Ltd. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Airport City, Israel. ADAMA Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Syngenta Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ADAMA Ltd reported revenue of ¥28.9B in FY2025 versus ¥31.0B in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.0B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
28.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+16.3%
Revenue −1.7%/yr
FY21 ¥31.0B
FY22 ¥37.4B
FY23 ¥32.8B
FY24 ¥29.5B
FY25 ¥28.9B
Net income
FY21 ¥157M
FY22 ¥609M
FY23 −¥1.6B
FY24 −¥2.9B
FY25 −¥1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ADAMA Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000553

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 3 · sector 37
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ADAMA Ltd (000553) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.69 versus a price of ¥5.43, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000553?
Our model-based fair value for ADAMA Ltd is ¥8.69 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.43.
What is the quality score of 000553?
ADAMA Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ADAMA Ltd (000553)?
ADAMA Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000553?
The net profit margin of ADAMA Ltd is about -2.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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