ADAMA Ltd (000553) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from ¥6.10 to ¥8.69 (+42.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.94 to ¥12.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.16 – ¥13.08 · fair‑value band ¥4.94 – ¥12.43 · the ¥5.43 price screens below the ¥8.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
ADAMA Ltd (000553) currently trades at ¥5.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.69, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ADAMA Ltd generated revenue of 29.0B CNY at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.4%. Net debt stands at 9.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.94 (bear case) to ¥12.43 (bull case); at ¥5.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 60%, 000553 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥25.39) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ADAMA Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and commercializes crop protection products in Israel and internationally. The company operates through Crop Protection (Agro), and Intermediates and Ingredients segments.
Full company description
ADAMA Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and commercializes crop protection products in Israel and internationally. The company operates through Crop Protection (Agro), and Intermediates and Ingredients segments. It provides herbicides, fungicides, and insecticides to protect agricultural crops from weeds, diseases, and insects; and other crop-protection products, such as miticides and nematicides, and intermediates to produce active ingredients for crop protection, as well as seed treatment products. The company also offers intermediate materials and ingredients, such as food additives; synthetic aromatic products; Lycopan, an oxidization retardant; dietary supplements; food colors; texture and flavor enhancers; and food fortification ingredients. In addition, it provides fragrance products for perfume, cosmetics, body care, and detergent industries; industrial products; and consumer and professional solutions. It primarily operates in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, North America, Brazil, India, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as Hubei Sanonda Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ADAMA Ltd. in December 2018. ADAMA Ltd. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Airport City, Israel. ADAMA Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Syngenta Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ADAMA Ltd reported revenue of ¥28.9B in FY2025 versus ¥31.0B in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.0B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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