ANTA Sports Products Limited (2020) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$205B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from HK$101.99 to HK$119.29 (+17.0%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$87.61). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$87.61 to HK$215.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$59.82 – HK$170.24 · fair‑value band HK$87.61 – HK$215.12 · the HK$74.50 price screens below the HK$119.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
ANTA Sports Products Limited (2020) currently trades at HK$74.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$119.29, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ANTA Sports Products Limited generated revenue of HK$80.2B at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.5%. Net debt stands at HK$20.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$87.61 (bear case) to HK$215.12 (bull case); at HK$74.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2020 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$174.85) versus Asset-Based (HK$15.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ANTA Sports Products Limited engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, market, and sale of professional sports footwear, apparel, and accessories in China and internationally.
Full company description
ANTA Sports Products Limited engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, market, and sale of professional sports footwear, apparel, and accessories in China and internationally. The company's products portfolio includes running, cross-training, basketball, professional competition, training, physical education classes, outdoor sports, triathlon, golf, skiing, camping, hiking, urban outdoor, tennis, and other sports under the FILA, FILA KIDS, FILA FUSION, AMER, KOLON SPORT, JACK WOLFSKIN, ANTA, DESCENTE, and ANTA KIDS brands, as well as sports fabrics under MAIA ACTIVE brand name. It also provides logistics, property management, information technology, trademark holding, management, product design, and sports training services, as well as manufacture shoe soles. In addition, the company is involved in trading and retailing of sporting goods. It offers its products through stores and online. ANTA Sports Products Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Jinjiang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ANTA Sports Products Limited reported revenue of HK$80.2B in FY2025 versus HK$49.3B in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.6B in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 2020: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Anta Brand CEO Xu Yang Steps Down Amid Expansion
- Why The ANTA Sports Products SEHK 2020 Story Is Shifting After Fresh Analyst Reassessment
- China's Anta Sports snares 29% Puma stake for $1.8 billion
- ANTA Sports to Acquire 29% Stake in PUMA, Further Strengthening Globalization Strategy
Peer Group
Leisure · 194 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$20.97 | R$22.90 | +9% |
| Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 | ¥5.92 | ¥6.85 | +16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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