Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com stock ¥1.32, price ¥11.48, upside -88.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.19 – ¥25.12 · fair‑value band ¥1.06 – ¥1.70 · the ¥11.48 price screens above the ¥1.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Co., Ltd. produces and sells optical fiber cables in China.
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The company offers plastic optical fiber, power optical cable, online monitoring, air-blown micro cable, plastic optical fiber and related supporting products; research and development, manufacturing, and sales of plastic optical fibers and cables, jumpers, and related supporting devices and equipment; and highway electromechanical engineering and communication engineering construction.
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) currently trades at ¥11.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.32, 88.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥1.98 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ¥11.48 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.08, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.06 (bear) to ¥1.70 (bull), the price of ¥11.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com reported revenue of 513M CNY in FY2025 versus 450M CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B CNY (≈ $333M) Small · P/S ratio 4.57 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1000 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −3.6% · Return on equity −5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin −2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −89%, 000586 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥1.06Fair Value ¥1.32Bull¥1.70
Price ¥11.48 · Upside -88.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.6% (2020) → 2.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+62.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +60.1% a year for the price.
Compare Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 295 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−88.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−2.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B6.85× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.19× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow210.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)28· sector 56
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000586
Frequently asked questions
Is Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.32 versus a price of ¥11.48, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000586?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is ¥1.32 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.48.
What is the quality score of 000586?
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.32 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.06, optimistic scenario ¥1.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.32, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥11.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.06, optimistic scenario ¥1.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 530M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com pay a dividend?
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com currently shows a dividend yield of 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com would have to grow free cash flow by +62.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.1 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000586 use?
Our models discount Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com that is +62.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com grew +1.1 % a year. The price currently implies +62.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (+62.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.48 %: that much free cash flow Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com it is ¥1.32 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ¥11.48. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 000586 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.48, fair value ¥1.32, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000586?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.32). For Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com the two are ¥10.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com worth?
The market values Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com at about 2.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.48; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000586?
Our models span a range for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com: cautious scenario ¥1.06, base ¥1.32, optimistic ¥1.70 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ¥11.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −5.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000586 from its 52-week high?
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com trades at ¥11.48, about 54% below its 52-week high of ¥25.12 and 13% above the low of ¥10.15 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ¥11.48, calculated fair value ¥1.32 (−89%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000586 calculated?
We run Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ¥11.48. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.32, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) come from?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com grew +4.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.0 %, EBIT margin +12.2 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com
How large is the market capitalisation of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The market capitalisation of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is 2.2B CNY (≈ $333M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is 4.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com are ¥−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The dividend yield of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The net margin of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is −3.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
The operating margin of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Revenue at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com is growing +5.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com are growing +93.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com (000586) hold?
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Com holds more cash than debt, 38.1M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 2, 2026