Pangang Group (000629) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 30.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥0.4400 to ¥0.7600 (+72.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.90 – ¥7.48 · fair‑value band ¥0.6400 – ¥0.8800 · the ¥3.13 price screens above the ¥0.7600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Pangang Group (000629) currently trades at ¥3.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7600, implying the stock looks roughly 75.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Pangang Group generated revenue of 9.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6400 (bear case) to ¥0.8800 (bull case); at ¥3.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -76%, 000629 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.8900) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources Co., Ltd. engages in the technology research and development, production, sales, and application development of sail products, titanium dioxide and titanium slag in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Titanium, Machinery, Electricity, and Others.
Full company description
Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources Co., Ltd. engages in the technology research and development, production, sales, and application development of sail products, titanium dioxide and titanium slag in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Titanium, Machinery, Electricity, and Others. It provides sail oxide, sail iron, sail nitrogen alloy, sail aluminum alloy, sail electrolyte, titanium dioxide, titanium slag, and others. The company also engages in the electricity business. Its products are used in steel, nonferrous metallurgy, chemical industry, energy, coatings, inks, papermaking, plastics, rubber, and solvent-based sunscreen cosmetics fields. The company was formerly known as Pangang Group Steel Vanadium & Titanium Co.,Ltd. Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Panzhihua, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pangang Group reported revenue of ¥8.9B in FY2025 versus ¥14.1B in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥93.3M in FY2025.
000629 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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