Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co (000637) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range (¥0.9800 to ¥1.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.66 – ¥6.72 · fair‑value band ¥0.9800 – ¥1.94 · the ¥3.90 price screens above the ¥1.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co (000637) currently trades at ¥3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.30, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co generated revenue of 3.2B CNY at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.5%. Net debt stands at 457M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.9800 (bear case) to ¥1.94 (bull case); at ¥3.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -67%, 000637 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co., Ltd manufactures and sells petrochemicals in the People's Republic of China. It offers esters, polypropylene, liquefied petroleum gas, light and industrial white oil, commercial propane butane mixture, sec-butyl acetate, methyl tert-butyl ether, ethanolamine, isobutane, refined propane, hydrogen peroxide, carbon nine and …

Full company description

Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co., Ltd manufactures and sells petrochemicals in the People's Republic of China. It offers esters, polypropylene, liquefied petroleum gas, light and industrial white oil, commercial propane butane mixture, sec-butyl acetate, methyl tert-butyl ether, ethanolamine, isobutane, refined propane, hydrogen peroxide, carbon nine and five, tar resin, hydrogenated C9, cold polymer resin, and high-purity dicyclopentadiene and polyester-grade dicyclopentadiene products. The company is also involved in the gasoline and diesel refueling, LPG loading, and chemical product trading business. It serves petrochemical, food processing, new energy, and cultural tourism sectors. Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co., Ltd was founded in 1988 and is based in Maoming, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maoming Petro-Chemical Shihua Co reported revenue of ¥3.1B in FY2025 versus ¥5.6B in FY2021, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥142M in FY2025.

000637 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

Peer Group

Chemicals · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.