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SDIC Fengle Seed Co (000713) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY

SF SDIC Fengle Seed Co 000713 · SHE
Price¥5.76
Fair Value¥2.12
Upside-63.2%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.30 – ¥2.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.33 ¥5.11 Fair Value ¥2.12 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.11 – ¥12.33 · fair‑value band ¥1.30 – ¥2.22 · the ¥5.76 price screens above the ¥2.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

SDIC Fengle Seed Co (000713) currently trades at ¥5.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.12, implying the stock looks roughly 63.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SDIC Fengle Seed Co generated revenue of 2.8B CNY at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 86.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.30 (bear case) to ¥2.22 (bull case); at ¥5.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -63%, 000713 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.64 ¥6.25 ¥8.69 80
Residual Income ¥2.74 ¥2.58 ¥2.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.74 ¥4.71 ¥5.89 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.63 ¥6.31 ¥8.92 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.83 ¥3.39 ¥4.25 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.74 ¥4.69 ¥5.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.45 ¥6.08 ¥8.03 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.65 ¥4.51 ¥5.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.00 ¥4.96 ¥6.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.49 ¥5.93 ¥7.93 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.98 ¥4.83 ¥5.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5600 ¥2.12 ¥2.87 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5100 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9500 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5100 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9500 46
EPV ¥3.17 ¥3.36 ¥3.53 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.30 ¥1.74 ¥2.17 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.05 ¥1.41 ¥1.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.05 ¥1.41 ¥1.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.85 ¥4.49 ¥5.13 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.62 ¥5.51 ¥6.41 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.31 ¥3.89 ¥4.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.97 ¥2.64 ¥3.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.64 ¥6.25 ¥8.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.74 ¥4.71 ¥5.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.74 ¥2.58 ¥2.00 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.17 ¥3.36 ¥3.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.9400 ¥1.35 ¥1.75 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.83) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.3%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow 188M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 58.2
More key figures
Operating margin -4.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) +115%
Net cash 86.2M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SDIC Fengle Seed Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of seeds, agrochemicals, and spices in China. It operates through three segments: Seeds, Agrochemicals, and Fragrances. The company offers hybrid corn seeds, silage corn seeds, hybrid rice seeds, conventional rice seeds, wheat seeds, watermelon and cantaloupe seeds, and rapeseed seeds.

Full company description

SDIC Fengle Seed Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of seeds, agrochemicals, and spices in China. It operates through three segments: Seeds, Agrochemicals, and Fragrances. The company offers hybrid corn seeds, silage corn seeds, hybrid rice seeds, conventional rice seeds, wheat seeds, watermelon and cantaloupe seeds, and rapeseed seeds. It also provides pesticides and fertilizers; natural mint series, including menthol, peppermint oil, peppermint oil, and spearmint oil; synthetic cooling agents; and technical products, which includes nicosulfuron, quizalofop-p-ethyl, bensulfuron-methyl, and fenoxaprop-p-ethyl technical. In addition, the company offers herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, seed dressing agents, and microbial agents, amino acid-containing water-soluble fertilizers, and other crop nutrients; phosphate fertilizers, compound fertilizers, phosphate concentrate powder, and other products; and fine chemical products, such as p-toluenesulfonyl chloride. The company was formerly known as Hefei Fengle Seed Co.,Ltd and changed its name to SDIC Fengle Seed Co., Ltd. in August 2025. SDIC Fengle Seed Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SDIC Fengle Seed Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥66.0M in FY2025, compounding −22.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+12.7%
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.6B
FY22 ¥3.0B
FY23 ¥3.1B
FY24 ¥2.9B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income −22.5%/yr
FY21 ¥183M
FY22 ¥58.8M
FY23 ¥40.2M
FY24 ¥69.8M
FY25 ¥66.0M

000713 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SDIC Fengle Seed Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000713

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 58.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 8 · sector 17
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SDIC Fengle Seed Co (000713) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.12 versus a price of ¥5.76, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000713?
Our model-based fair value for SDIC Fengle Seed Co is ¥2.12 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.76.
What is the quality score of 000713?
SDIC Fengle Seed Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SDIC Fengle Seed Co (000713)?
SDIC Fengle Seed Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000713?
The net profit margin of SDIC Fengle Seed Co is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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