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Luoniushan Co (000735) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 6.0B CNY

LC Luoniushan Co 000735 · SHE
Price¥5.12
Fair Value¥2.80
Upside-45.3%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.67% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.10 – ¥3.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥3.87 to ¥2.80 (−27.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.11 ¥4.12 Fair Value ¥2.80 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.12 – ¥11.11 · fair‑value band ¥2.10 – ¥3.51 · the ¥5.12 price screens above the ¥2.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Luoniushan Co (000735) currently trades at ¥5.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.80, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Luoniushan Co generated revenue of 3.5B CNY at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 29.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.8%. Net debt stands at 610M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.10 (bear case) to ¥3.51 (bull case); at ¥5.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -45%, 000735 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.66 ¥2.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.04 ¥3.53 ¥4.23 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.77 ¥2.53 ¥3.29 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.08 ¥3.75 ¥6.56 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9100 ¥4.22 ¥5.80 54
Lynch FV ¥1.11 ¥1.59 ¥2.07 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.11 ¥1.59 ¥2.07 46
EPV ¥3.04 ¥3.53 ¥3.96 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.10 ¥2.80 ¥3.51 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.70 ¥2.27 ¥2.84 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.70 ¥2.27 ¥2.84 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.16 ¥6.92 ¥8.67 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.19 ¥8.28 ¥10.37 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.98 ¥4.30 ¥5.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.88 ¥2.52 ¥3.76 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.73 ¥2.66 ¥2.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.04 ¥3.53 ¥4.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.77 ¥2.53 ¥3.29 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.75) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.59). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.9%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity -0.8%
Free cash flow −309M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -6.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0200
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -86.6%
Net debt 610M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Luoniushan Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the animal husbandry business in China. The company operates through Educational Services Division, Real Estate Division, Animal Husbandry Division, Warehousing and logistics division, and Agricultural and sideline products processing division segments.

Full company description

Luoniushan Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the animal husbandry business in China. The company operates through Educational Services Division, Real Estate Division, Animal Husbandry Division, Warehousing and logistics division, and Agricultural and sideline products processing division segments. It is involved in college education, accommodation and catering services, and sporadic training and examination services; real estate sales; pig breeding and sales, and feed production; pig slaughtering, processing and sales, and livestock trading; cold chain warehouse leasing, warehousing, and logistics and transportation services. The company was formerly known as Haikou Agriculture & Industry & Trade (LUONIUSHAN) Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Luoniushan Co., Ltd. in July 2013. Luoniushan Co., Ltd. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Haikou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luoniushan Co reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥154M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+14.9%
Revenue +15.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.9B
FY23 ¥4.2B
FY24 ¥3.3B
FY25 ¥3.4B
Net income
FY21 −¥423M
FY22 ¥89.2M
FY23 −¥488M
FY24 ¥242M
FY25 ¥154M

000735 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luoniushan Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000735

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 90 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luoniushan Co (000735) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.80 versus a price of ¥5.12, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000735?
Our model-based fair value for Luoniushan Co is ¥2.80 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.12.
What is the quality score of 000735?
Luoniushan Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Luoniushan Co (000735)?
Luoniushan Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000735?
The net profit margin of Luoniushan Co is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Luoniushan Co pay a dividend?
Luoniushan Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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