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Changjiang Securities Company (000783) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 43.8B CNY

CS Changjiang Securities Company 000783 · SHE
Price¥9.04
Fair Value¥10.61
Upside+17.4%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 37.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.05% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.96 – ¥13.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from ¥7.96 (bear) to ¥13.26 (bull), base ¥10.61. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.15 ¥4.19 Fair Value ¥10.61 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.19 – ¥10.15 · fair‑value band ¥7.96 – ¥13.26 · the ¥9.04 price screens below the ¥10.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Changjiang Securities Company (000783) currently trades at ¥9.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.61, implying the stock looks roughly 17.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Changjiang Securities Company generated revenue of 11.4B CNY at a net margin of 37.0%. Revenue grew 34.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 53.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.96 (bear case) to ¥13.26 (bull case); at ¥9.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 17%, 000783 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥22.68 ¥25.54 ¥30.26 80
Residual Income ¥6.46 ¥7.03 ¥9.31 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥21.70 ¥23.70 ¥26.21 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥27.38 ¥33.92 ¥44.95 31
5Y P/E Exit ¥23.95 ¥28.25 ¥33.08 38
10Y P/E Exit ¥23.48 ¥27.19 ¥32.33 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.55 ¥19.41 ¥26.51 54
Lynch FV ¥4.96 ¥7.09 ¥9.21 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.52 ¥8.69 ¥10.86 63
P/B Multiple ¥7.96 ¥10.61 ¥13.26 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.79 ¥5.08 ¥7.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥22.68 ¥25.54 ¥30.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥21.70 ¥23.70 ¥26.21 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.46 ¥7.03 ¥9.31 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥28.25) versus Asset-Based (¥5.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.6%
Net margin 37.0%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow 1.8B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 56.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7200
Dividend yield 4.1%
Net cash 53.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Changjiang Securities Company Limited operates as a securities company in China. The company offers wealth management, investment banking, asset management, research, investment, and international business to individuals, institutional investors, corporate and government clients.

Full company description

Changjiang Securities Company Limited operates as a securities company in China. The company offers wealth management, investment banking, asset management, research, investment, and international business to individuals, institutional investors, corporate and government clients. It also provides securities brokerage, funds, futures, private equity fund management, and equity and innovative investment services; fund custody, professional trading, and other value-added services; and margin trading, stock pledges, agreed repurchase, transfer and refinancing, and equity incentive financing services. The company was formerly known as Hubei Securities Company. Changjiang Securities Company Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Changjiang Securities Company reported revenue of ¥10.5B in FY2025 versus ¥11.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.7B in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+22.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+4.5%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥11.3B
FY22 ¥8.9B
FY23 ¥9.5B
FY24 ¥8.6B
FY25 ¥10.5B
Net income +11.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.4B
FY22 ¥1.5B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥1.8B
FY25 ¥3.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changjiang Securities Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000783

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 35% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.86× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 40 · sector 30
HEALTH 75 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 81 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changjiang Securities Company (000783) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.61 versus a price of ¥9.04, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000783?
Our model-based fair value for Changjiang Securities Company is ¥10.61 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.04.
What is the quality score of 000783?
Changjiang Securities Company has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Changjiang Securities Company (000783)?
Changjiang Securities Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000783?
The net profit margin of Changjiang Securities Company is about 37.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Changjiang Securities Company pay a dividend?
Changjiang Securities Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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