Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group (000837) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.09 to ¥0.9700 (−11.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −28.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥8.71 – ¥15.69 · fair‑value band ¥0.6600 – ¥1.32 · the ¥8.71 price screens above the ¥0.9700 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.
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Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group (000837) currently trades at ¥8.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9700, implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group generated revenue of 4.2B CNY at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 198M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6600 (bear case) to ¥1.32 (bull case); at ¥8.71, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -89%, 000837 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, sale, and service of CNC machine tools and systems in China and internationally. Th company offers precision gear grinding machines, CNC lathes, machining centers, automation production line, measuring equipment, scrolling function components, cutting tools, industrial robot joint reducer, gearbox, and transmission gears. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Shaanxi Qinchuan Machinery Development Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. in October 2014. Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Baoji, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥5.1B in FY2021, a compound −5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥52.9M in FY2025, compounding −34.1%/yr from FY2021.
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| Siemens Energy AG SMEGF | $182.39 | $47.02 | -74% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $375.46 | $194.62 | -48% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 179.35 | kr 122.65 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.