Xiamen Port Development Co (000905) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.7B CNY

A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.26 – ¥15.87 · fair‑value band ¥2.23 – ¥3.50 · the ¥8.54 price screens above the ¥2.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Xiamen Port Development Co (000905) currently trades at ¥8.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.80, implying the stock looks roughly 67.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiamen Port Development Co generated revenue of 23.0B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at 783M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.23 (bear case) to ¥3.50 (bull case); at ¥8.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -67%, 000905 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.06) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Xiamen Port Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in providing port terminals services in China.

Full company description

Xiamen Port Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in providing port terminals services in China. The company offers bulk cargo terminal loading and unloading, and storage; operates and leases berths; and port logistics services, including tugboat assistance for ships and cargoes entering and leaving the port, ship agency, cargo inspection and quarantine, customs declaration, air transport, trailer transport, container transport, and other services; and port value-added services, such as consolidation and distribution, warehousing and distribution, container storage, multimodal transport, land port, ocean express, cross-border e-commerce logistics, and other services. It also provides supply chain services comprising port trade, terminals, warehousing, agency, transportation, distribution, and other services. The company was formerly known as Xiamen Road and Bridge Corporation and changed its name to Xiamen Port Development Co., Ltd. in November 2004. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Xiamen, China. Xiamen Port Development Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Xiamen International Port Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiamen Port Development Co reported revenue of ¥22.1B in FY2025 versus ¥23.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥206M in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.

000905 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.