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Shanjin International Gold Co (000975) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 53.7B CNY

SI Shanjin International Gold Co 000975 · SHE
Price¥25.46
Fair Value¥18.22
Upside-28.4%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.40% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥13.67 – ¥42.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +30.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥13.67 to ¥42.28). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.05 ¥7.32 Fair Value ¥18.22 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.32 – ¥38.05 · fair‑value band ¥13.67 – ¥42.28 · the ¥25.46 price screens above the ¥18.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanjin International Gold Co (000975) currently trades at ¥25.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.22, implying the stock looks roughly 28.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanjin International Gold Co generated revenue of 18.7B CNY at a net margin of 19.6%. Revenue grew 37.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.67 (bear case) to ¥42.28 (bull case); at ¥25.46, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -28%, 000975 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥20.98 ¥37.72 ¥71.54 80
Residual Income ¥7.07 ¥9.30 ¥37.09 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥16.04 ¥29.37 ¥54.49 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥22.21 ¥34.07 ¥71.85 38
Owner Earnings ¥15.17 ¥32.57 ¥69.11 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥15.92 ¥25.86 ¥46.61 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥20.56 ¥35.24 ¥64.03 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥19.33 ¥40.47 ¥69.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥17.52 ¥35.28 ¥46.14 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.40 ¥45.27 ¥86.73 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥20.50 ¥42.62 ¥78.65 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.29 ¥50.83 ¥71.33 54
Lynch FV ¥19.28 ¥27.55 ¥35.81 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥19.28 ¥27.55 ¥35.81 46
EPV ¥12.87 ¥14.76 ¥16.41 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.36 ¥6.98 ¥11.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.36 ¥5.88 ¥7.32 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥16.08 ¥21.44 ¥26.80 63
P/S Multiple ¥11.56 ¥15.42 ¥19.27 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.11 ¥16.14 ¥20.18 55
EV/EBIT ¥22.49 ¥29.47 ¥36.46 53
EV/EBITDA ¥19.24 ¥25.14 ¥31.04 54
EV/Revenue ¥12.32 ¥16.95 ¥21.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.69 ¥3.61 ¥5.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥20.98 ¥37.72 ¥71.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥16.04 ¥29.37 ¥54.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.07 ¥9.30 ¥37.09 76
ROIC Compounder ¥16.14 ¥23.05 ¥32.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥24.13 ¥34.47 ¥44.81 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥35.24) versus Asset-Based (¥3.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.4%
Net margin 19.6%
Return on equity 23.9%
Free cash flow 3.4B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 35.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.32
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +101%
Net cash 4.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. explores for, mines, and trades in precious and non-ferrous metal ores in China. The company primarily explores for gold, lead, zinc, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Yintai Gold Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. in July 2024. Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. explores for, mines, and trades in precious and non-ferrous metal ores in China. The company primarily explores for gold, lead, zinc, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Yintai Gold Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. in July 2024. Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanjin International Gold Co reported revenue of ¥17.1B in FY2025 versus ¥9.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.0B in FY2025, compounding +23.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+21.0%
Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY21 ¥9.0B
FY22 ¥8.4B
FY23 ¥8.1B
FY24 ¥13.6B
FY25 ¥17.1B
Net income +23.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥3.0B

000975 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanjin International Gold Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000975

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Above median
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Above median
Revenue growth 37% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.87× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 96 · sector 0
HEALTH 96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanjin International Gold Co (000975) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.22 versus a price of ¥25.46, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000975?
Our model-based fair value for Shanjin International Gold Co is ¥18.22 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥25.46.
What is the quality score of 000975?
Shanjin International Gold Co has a Quality Score of 70/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanjin International Gold Co (000975)?
Shanjin International Gold Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000975?
The net profit margin of Shanjin International Gold Co is about 19.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanjin International Gold Co pay a dividend?
Shanjin International Gold Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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