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Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings (000987) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 38.6B CNY

GY Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 · SHE
Price¥7.75
Fair Value¥9.27
Upside+19.6%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 116.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.84% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.95 – ¥11.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from ¥6.95 (bear) to ¥11.59 (bull), base ¥9.27. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.69 ¥4.60 Fair Value ¥9.27 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.60 – ¥11.69 · fair‑value band ¥6.95 – ¥11.59 · the ¥7.75 price screens below the ¥9.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings (000987) currently trades at ¥7.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.27, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 3.6B CNY. Revenue declined 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at 78.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.95 (bear case) to ¥11.59 (bull case); at ¥7.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 20%, 000987 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple ¥4.22 ¥5.63 ¥7.04 55
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.31 ¥4.44 ¥6.62 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple ¥4.22 ¥5.63 ¥7.04 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.31 ¥4.44 ¥6.62 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.63) versus Asset-Based (¥4.44). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -26.9%
Net margin 117%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow 1.3B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 9.3
More key figures
Operating margin -62.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8300
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +98.6%
Net debt 78.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. operates a financial holding platform in China. The company offers financial leasing business products, such as livelihood project, inclusive leasing, high-end equipment, operating lease, and clean energy business; asset management business, including acquisition of public non-performing assets; transfer of …

Full company description

Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. operates a financial holding platform in China. The company offers financial leasing business products, such as livelihood project, inclusive leasing, high-end equipment, operating lease, and clean energy business; asset management business, including acquisition of public non-performing assets; transfer of public non-performing assets; debt restructuring; bankruptcy reorganization; substantial restructuring; standardized debt investments; and bulk acquisition of individual non-performing assets. It also provides industrial fund business products comprising FoF investment, equity investment, and mezzanine investment; futures brokerage, asset management, trading consulting, risk management subsidiary, re-guarantee, and other products and services; and enterprise financing, financial products, personal financing, and non-financial guarantee business, as well as re-guarantee business. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Yuexiu Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1959 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings reported revenue of ¥7.8B in FY2025 versus ¥13.3B in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.5B in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.8B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+10.4%
Revenue −12.4%/yr
FY21 ¥13.3B
FY22 ¥14.2B
FY23 ¥14.8B
FY24 ¥13.2B
FY25 ¥7.8B
Net income +9.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥3.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000987

Peer Group

Financial Conglomerates · 56 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 117% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -62% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -27% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.69× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 11
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 43 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ORIX Corporation IX $40.31 $35.05 -13%
Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV ₹2,065 ₹682.29 -67%
Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 66.70 TWD 35.75 TWD -46%
China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 ¥12.94 ¥18.92 +46%
Guosen Securities Co 002736 ¥10.34 ¥17.96 +74%
CNPC Capital Company 000617 ¥6.80 ¥5.78 -15%
Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL ₹399.25 ₹176.15 -56%
Freedom Holding FRHC $152.69 $32.75 -79%
Voya Financial, Inc VOYA $98.49 $76.48 -22%
Bicecorp S.A BICE 401.29 CLP 342.22 CLP -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings (000987) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.27 versus a price of ¥7.75, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000987?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings is ¥9.27 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.75.
What is the quality score of 000987?
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings (000987)?
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000987?
The net profit margin of Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings is about 116.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 116.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings pay a dividend?
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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